Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Drouin

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Drouin indicate a 44.5% increase in population under working age, a 45.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 38.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Drouin - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49327.31,2757.11,9367.2+1,004
5 to 99607.61,3227.42,0027.4+1,042
10 to 147556.01,2296.91,8656.9+1,110
15 to 197465.91,1046.21,6806.2+935
20 to 247025.59935.51,5295.7+827
25 to 298196.51,1096.21,6616.1+842
30 to 348226.51,1356.31,7166.4+894
35 to 396735.31,0806.01,6386.1+966
40 to 447065.61,0405.81,5805.8+875
45 to 497676.09755.41,5325.7+765
50 to 547535.99695.41,4745.5+722
55 to 597906.21,0105.61,4605.4+670
60 to 647115.69885.51,4085.2+698
65 to 697586.01,0115.61,4215.3+663
70 to 746295.08985.01,3565.0+727
75 to 795024.07834.41,1624.3+660
80 to 843252.65222.98573.2+531
85 and over3312.64882.77452.8+414
Total persons12,680100.017,930100.027,023100.0+14,343

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 745 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 857 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 1,162 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 1,356 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,421 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,408 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,460 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,474 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,532 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,580 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,638 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 1,716 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,661 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,529 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,680 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 1,865 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 2,002 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,936 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 488 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 522 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 783 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 898 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,011 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 988 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,010 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 969 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 975 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,040 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,080 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,135 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,109 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 993 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,104 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,229 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,322 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,275 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 331 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 325 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 502 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 629 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 758 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 711 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 790 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 753 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 767 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 706 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 673 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 822 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 819 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 702 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 746 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 755 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 960 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 932
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 257 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 334 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 380 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 458 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 410 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 420 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 450 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 505 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 557 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 541 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 558 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 581 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 552 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 536 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 576 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 636 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 680 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 661 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 157 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 197 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 280 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 268 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 252 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 278 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 220 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 216 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 208 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 334 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 407 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 313 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 290 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 291 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 358 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 475 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 362 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 343
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Drouin was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 475 and account for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 1,322 persons.

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