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Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast

Baw Baw Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Baw Baw Shire is forecast to grow from 24,482 in 2021 to 36,913 in 2041, with the average household size rising from 2.49 to 2.50 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Baw Baw Shire. The period 2021 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Baw Baw ShireForecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population57,61164,96572,10779,52987,281
Change in population (5yrs)--7,3557,1417,4227,752
Average annual change--2.43%2.11%1.98%1.88%
Households22,81325,50328,33831,34734,542
Average household size2.492.512.512.512.50
Population in non private dwellings845845845845845
Dwellings24,48227,33530,33933,53136,913
Dwelling occupancy rate93.1893.3093.4093.4993.58
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Baw Baw Shire was estimated to be 57,611 people. It is expected to increase by over 14,496 people to 72,107 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 4.59%. This is based on an increase of over 5,525 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.49 to 2.51 by 2026.

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