Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
Skip to content

Baw Baw Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Baw Baw Shire will increase by an average of 598 dwellings per annum to 35,935 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Baw Baw Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2041
Baw Baw ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2041
Areanumber%
Baw Baw Shire+14,947+71.2
Drouin (North)+3,208+93.0
Drouin (South)+2,583+144.9
Drouin West - Buln Buln and District+88+6.7
Longwarry - Longwarry North+770+76.7
Mount Baw Baw - Willow Grove and District+157+14.5
Neerim South - Noojee and District+75+6.7
Trafalgar - Trafalgar East+878+47.2
Trafalgar South - Yarragon South and District+150+8.8
Warragul (North)+4,890+105.0
Warragul (South)+1,288+67.8
Yarragon - Darnum - Nilma+860+77.3

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 35,935 2040 Total dwellings: 35,248 2039 Total dwellings: 34,568 2038 Total dwellings: 33,886 2037 Total dwellings: 33,221 2036 Total dwellings: 32,553 2035 Total dwellings: 31,888 2034 Total dwellings: 31,235 2033 Total dwellings: 30,605 2032 Total dwellings: 29,979 2031 Total dwellings: 29,361 2030 Total dwellings: 28,742 2029 Total dwellings: 28,143 2028 Total dwellings: 27,543 2027 Total dwellings: 26,947 2026 Total dwellings: 26,357 2025 Total dwellings: 25,777 2024 Total dwellings: 25,197 2023 Total dwellings: 24,624 2022 Total dwellings: 24,058 2021 Total dwellings: 23,504 2020 Total dwellings: 22,963 2019 Total dwellings: 22,452 2018 Total dwellings: 21,968 2017 Total dwellings: 21,476 2041 Total dwellings: 35,935 2040 Total dwellings: 35,248 2039 Total dwellings: 34,568 2038 Total dwellings: 33,886 2037 Total dwellings: 33,221 2036 Total dwellings: 32,553 2035 Total dwellings: 31,888 2034 Total dwellings: 31,235 2033 Total dwellings: 30,605 2032 Total dwellings: 29,979 2031 Total dwellings: 29,361 2030 Total dwellings: 28,742 2029 Total dwellings: 28,143 2028 Total dwellings: 27,543 2027 Total dwellings: 26,947 2026 Total dwellings: 26,357 2025 Total dwellings: 25,777 2024 Total dwellings: 25,197 2023 Total dwellings: 24,624 2022 Total dwellings: 24,058 2021 Total dwellings: 23,504 2020 Total dwellings: 22,963 2019 Total dwellings: 22,452 2018 Total dwellings: 21,968 2017 Total dwellings: 21,476 2041 Forecast development: 687 2040 Forecast development: 680 2039 Forecast development: 682 2038 Forecast development: 665 2037 Forecast development: 668 2036 Forecast development: 665 2035 Forecast development: 653 2034 Forecast development: 630 2033 Forecast development: 626 2032 Forecast development: 618 2031 Forecast development: 619 2030 Forecast development: 599 2029 Forecast development: 600 2028 Forecast development: 596 2027 Forecast development: 590 2026 Forecast development: 580 2025 Forecast development: 580 2024 Forecast development: 573 2023 Forecast development: 566 2022 Forecast development: 554 2021 Forecast development: 541 2020 Forecast development: 511 2019 Forecast development: 484 2018 Forecast development: 492 2017 Forecast development: 488
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
v19.07.26-1.0.1