Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
Skip to content

Neerim South - Noojee and District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Neerim South - Noojee and District indicate a 2.0% decrease in population under working age, a 32.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.4% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Neerim South - Noojee and District - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41375.81154.91194.9-19
5 to 91295.51305.51345.6+5
10 to 141335.61466.21395.8+6
15 to 191496.31215.11245.2-24
20 to 241044.4903.8964.0-8
25 to 29863.6883.7893.7+3
30 to 341004.21044.41064.4+6
35 to 391044.41094.61114.6+7
40 to 441405.91235.21285.3-13
45 to 491365.81225.21265.3-9
50 to 541898.01496.31456.1-44
55 to 592309.81677.11646.8-66
60 to 642038.62048.71807.5-23
65 to 691827.72239.51887.8+6
70 to 741375.81928.21867.7+49
75 to 79944.01405.91616.7+66
80 to 84582.5843.61325.5+74
85 and over482.0482.1733.0+26
Total persons2,360100.02,354100.02,403100.0+43

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 73 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 132 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 161 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 186 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 188 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 180 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 164 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 145 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 126 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 128 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 111 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 106 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 89 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 96 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 124 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 139 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 134 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 119 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 84 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 140 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 192 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 223 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 204 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 167 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 149 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 122 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 123 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 104 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 88 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 121 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 146 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 130 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 48 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 58 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 94 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 137 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 182 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 203 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 230 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 189 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 136 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 140 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 104 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 100 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 86 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 104 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 149 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 133 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 129 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 137
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 25 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 49 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 21 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: -6 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: -34 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -24 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: -2 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 5 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 5 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 3 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -7 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 5 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 45 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -63 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -40 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -18 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -27 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -22
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Neerim South - Noojee and District was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 55 and account for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 223 persons.

v19.09.08-1.0.0