Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Drouin (South)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Drouin (South) indicate a 49.6% increase in population under working age, a 63.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 40.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Drouin (South) - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43798.75098.09118.2+532
5 to 93337.65007.88918.0+558
10 to 142606.04457.07817.0+522
15 to 192445.63755.96816.1+437
20 to 242595.93545.56575.9+398
25 to 293237.44296.77696.9+445
30 to 343247.44607.28187.4+494
35 to 392565.94366.87706.9+513
40 to 442475.73816.06816.1+434
45 to 492595.93265.16095.5+349
50 to 542225.13014.75374.9+315
55 to 592275.23044.84934.4+265
60 to 642505.72914.64724.3+222
65 to 692315.32964.64674.2+236
70 to 741894.33074.84644.2+275
75 to 791583.62574.03903.5+232
80 to 84882.01762.82982.7+210
85 and over1122.62383.73923.5+280
Total persons4,362100.06,383100.011,080100.0+6,718

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 392 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 298 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 390 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 464 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 467 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 472 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 493 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 537 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 609 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 681 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 770 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 818 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 769 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 657 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 681 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 781 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 891 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 911 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 238 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 176 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 257 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 307 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 296 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 291 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 304 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 301 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 326 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 381 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 436 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 460 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 429 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 354 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 375 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 445 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 500 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 509 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 112 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 88 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 158 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 189 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 231 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 250 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 227 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 222 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 259 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 247 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 256 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 324 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 323 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 259 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 244 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 260 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 333 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 379
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 154 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 123 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 133 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 157 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 171 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 181 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 189 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 237 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 283 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 300 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 334 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 358 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 339 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 303 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 306 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 336 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 391 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 402 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 88 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 99 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 118 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 40 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 134 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 137 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 95 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 186 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 167 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 130
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Drouin (South) was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 186 and account for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 509 persons.

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