Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Baw Baw Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Baw Baw Shire is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Baw Baw Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • A range of new housing opportunities across the Council area, particularly in Warragul and Drouin, which are expected to predominantly attract young and mature families as well as retirees and empty-nesters
  • Small loss of young adults, to Melbourne, primarily for employment and education opportunities
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -37 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -179 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -185 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 64 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 269 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 363 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 402 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 446 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 433 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 417 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 401 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 495 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 719 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 364 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -74 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 160 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 647 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 793 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 11 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -114 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -155 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 53 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 231 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 293 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 363 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 364 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 430 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 434 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 392 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 478 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 642 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 389 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -34 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 157 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 591 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 733 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -59 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -88 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 48 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 205 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 273 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 284 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 312 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 328 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 428 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 435 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 421 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 585 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 196 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -66 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 161 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 508 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 633 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -37 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -179 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -185 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: 64 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: 269 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: 363 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: 402 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: 446 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: 433 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 417 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 401 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 495 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 719 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 364 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: -74 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 160 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 647 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 793 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 11 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -114 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -155 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 53 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 231 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 293 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 363 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 364 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 430 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 434 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 392 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 478 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 642 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 389 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -34 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 157 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 591 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 733 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -59 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -88 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 48 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 205 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 273 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 284 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 312 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 328 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 428 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 435 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 421 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 585 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 196 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -66 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 161 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 508 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 633
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
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