Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Warragul (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warragul (North) indicate a 43.6% increase in population under working age, a 41.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 40.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warragul (North) - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46906.69806.61,3806.4+690
5 to 97126.89946.71,4236.6+711
10 to 146175.99256.31,3426.3+725
15 to 196756.59046.11,3076.1+632
20 to 246195.99696.51,3586.3+739
25 to 296966.71,0817.31,4846.9+789
30 to 346556.31,0236.91,4346.7+779
35 to 395735.59156.21,3146.1+741
40 to 446205.98405.71,2445.8+624
45 to 496546.28255.61,2445.8+591
50 to 546436.28485.71,2335.7+590
55 to 596696.48545.81,2235.7+553
60 to 646496.28265.61,1865.5+536
65 to 696236.07925.31,1355.3+512
70 to 744994.87154.81,0384.8+538
75 to 793843.75944.08714.1+487
80 to 842712.64102.86823.2+411
85 and over2092.03062.15752.7+366
Total persons10,459100.014,801100.021,473100.0+11,015

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 575 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 682 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 871 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 1,038 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,135 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,186 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,223 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 1,233 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 1,244 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 1,244 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,314 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 1,434 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,484 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,358 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,307 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 1,342 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 1,423 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,380 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 306 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 410 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 594 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 715 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 792 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 826 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 854 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 848 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 825 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 840 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 915 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,023 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,081 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 969 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 904 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 925 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 994 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 980 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 209 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 271 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 384 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 499 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 623 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 649 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 669 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 643 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 654 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 620 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 573 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 655 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 696 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 619 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 675 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 617 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 712 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 690
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 269 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 272 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 278 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 323 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 344 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 359 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 369 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 385 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 420 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 403 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 399 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 411 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 403 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 389 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 403 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 417 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 428 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 400 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 97 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 139 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 209 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 215 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 169 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 177 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 204 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 171 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 220 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 342 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 368 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 386 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 350 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 229 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 308 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 283 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 290
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Warragul (North) was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 6.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 386 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,081 persons.

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