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Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast

Warragul (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warragul (North) indicate a 42.5% increase in population under working age, a 47.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 41.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Warragul (North) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warragul (North) - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47656.71,0586.51,4336.2+667
5 to 97846.91,0886.71,4976.5+712
10 to 146826.01,0336.31,4416.3+759
15 to 197486.61,0166.21,4206.2+672
20 to 246876.01,0456.41,4156.1+727
25 to 297786.81,1527.11,5226.6+743
30 to 347176.31,0866.71,4666.4+748
35 to 396305.59886.11,3615.9+731
40 to 446775.99245.71,3135.7+636
45 to 497276.49275.71,3465.8+619
50 to 547076.29625.91,3595.9+652
55 to 597326.49796.01,3685.9+636
60 to 646846.09365.81,3305.8+646
65 to 696735.98945.51,2855.6+613
70 to 745304.67864.81,1735.1+644
75 to 793983.56494.09724.2+573
80 to 842822.54352.77453.2+463
85 and over2101.83141.95992.6+389
Total persons11,412100.016,273100.023,042100.0+11,630
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Warragul (North) was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 374 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,152 persons.

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