Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Drouin West - Buln Buln and District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Drouin West - Buln Buln and District indicate a 13.4% decrease in population under working age, a 41.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Drouin West - Buln Buln and District - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41825.41635.01594.8-24
5 to 92377.01895.81835.5-54
10 to 142226.62036.22006.1-23
15 to 192357.02016.11855.6-50
20 to 241915.61414.31424.3-49
25 to 291705.01374.21364.1-34
30 to 341685.01504.61464.4-22
35 to 391865.51775.41735.2-13
40 to 442106.21915.81885.7-22
45 to 492517.42056.32066.3-45
50 to 542798.32246.92196.7-59
55 to 592718.02517.72337.1-37
60 to 642246.62618.02317.0+7
65 to 692346.92407.32256.8-9
70 to 741524.51945.92176.6+65
75 to 79882.61795.51986.0+110
80 to 84531.61083.31584.8+105
85 and over240.7561.7983.0+74
Total persons3,376100.03,271100.03,296100.0-80

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 98 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 158 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 198 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 217 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 225 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 231 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 233 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 219 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 206 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 188 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 173 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 146 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 136 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 142 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 185 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 200 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 183 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 159 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 108 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 240 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 261 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 251 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 224 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 205 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 191 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 177 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 150 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 137 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 141 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 201 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 203 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 189 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 163 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 53 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 88 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 152 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 234 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 224 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 271 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 279 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 251 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 210 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 186 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 168 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 170 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 191 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 235 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 222 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 237 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 182
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 42 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 50 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 19 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 23 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: -15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -31 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: -18 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: -5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: -3 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -5 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -1 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: -16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: -6 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 32 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 55 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 42 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 38 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -20 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -55 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -46 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -33 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -50 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -34 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -48 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: -20
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Drouin West - Buln Buln and District was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 91 and account for 5.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 261 persons.

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