Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Mount Baw Baw - Willow Grove and District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Mount Baw Baw - Willow Grove and District indicate a 6.1% increase in population under working age, a 23.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mount Baw Baw - Willow Grove and District - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4994.81185.11235.1+24
5 to 91457.01436.21506.2+4
10 to 141497.21566.81666.8+17
15 to 191215.91426.21425.8+21
20 to 24753.6924.0953.9+19
25 to 29763.7914.0943.9+18
30 to 34763.71014.41064.4+30
35 to 391075.21165.11235.1+17
40 to 441426.81355.91496.1+7
45 to 491597.71637.11727.0+12
50 to 541607.71838.01867.6+26
55 to 591798.71918.31968.0+17
60 to 641858.91757.61907.8+6
65 to 691537.41566.81707.0+17
70 to 741356.51386.01456.0+10
75 to 79492.4964.21044.3+54
80 to 84331.6672.9743.0+41
85 and over261.2311.3492.0+23
Total persons2,069100.02,293100.02,435100.0+366

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 49 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 74 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 104 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 145 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 170 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 190 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 196 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 186 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 172 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 149 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 123 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 106 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 94 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 95 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 142 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 166 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 150 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 123 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 96 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 138 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 156 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 175 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 191 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 183 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 163 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 135 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 116 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 101 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 92 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 142 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 156 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 143 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 118 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 33 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 49 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 135 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 153 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 185 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 179 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 160 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 159 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 142 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 107 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 76 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 76 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 75 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 121 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 149 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 145 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 99
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 18 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 7 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 8 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 7 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 16 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 5 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 3 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 9 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 13 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 7 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 6 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 3 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 0 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 10 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 7 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 5 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 46 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 4 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 16 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 20 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 7 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 19
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Mount Baw Baw - Willow Grove and District was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 46 and account for 4.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 191 persons.

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