Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Drouin (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Drouin (North) indicate a 41.6% increase in population under working age, a 37.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 38.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Drouin (North) - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45536.67666.61,0256.4+472
5 to 96277.58227.11,1117.0+484
10 to 144956.07846.81,0846.8+589
15 to 195026.07296.31,0006.3+498
20 to 244435.36395.58725.5+429
25 to 294966.06805.98925.6+396
30 to 344996.06755.88985.6+399
35 to 394165.06445.68695.4+452
40 to 444595.56585.78995.6+440
45 to 495076.16495.69235.8+415
50 to 545306.46685.89375.9+407
55 to 595626.87076.19676.1+405
60 to 644605.56986.09365.9+476
65 to 695276.37156.29546.0+427
70 to 744405.35905.18925.6+452
75 to 793454.15264.67734.8+428
80 to 842372.93473.05583.5+321
85 and over2192.62502.23532.2+134
Total persons8,318100.011,548100.015,943100.0+7,625

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 353 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 558 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 773 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 892 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 954 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 936 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 967 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 937 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 923 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 899 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 869 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 898 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 892 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 872 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 1,000 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 1,084 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 1,111 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,025 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 250 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 347 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 526 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 590 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 715 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 698 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 707 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 668 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 649 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 658 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 644 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 675 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 680 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 639 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 729 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 784 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 822 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 766 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 219 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 237 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 345 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 440 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 527 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 460 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 562 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 530 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 507 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 459 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 416 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 499 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 496 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 443 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 502 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 495 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 627 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 553
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 103 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 212 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 247 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 302 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 240 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 238 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 261 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 269 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 274 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 241 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 224 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 223 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 212 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 233 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 270 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 300 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 289 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 259 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 109 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 181 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 150 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 187 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 238 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 144 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 138 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 142 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 200 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 228 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 176 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 184 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 196 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 289 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 195 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 213
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Drouin (North) was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 289 and account for 6.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 822 persons.

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