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Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast

Drouin (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Drouin (North) indicate a 41.6% increase in population under working age, a 37.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 38.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Drouin (North) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Drouin (North) - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45536.67666.61,0256.4+472
5 to 96277.58227.11,1117.0+484
10 to 144956.07846.81,0846.8+589
15 to 195026.07296.31,0006.3+498
20 to 244435.36395.58725.5+429
25 to 294966.06805.98925.6+396
30 to 344996.06755.88985.6+399
35 to 394165.06445.68695.4+452
40 to 444595.56585.78995.6+440
45 to 495076.16495.69235.8+415
50 to 545306.46685.89375.9+407
55 to 595626.87076.19676.1+405
60 to 644605.56986.09365.9+476
65 to 695276.37156.29546.0+427
70 to 744405.35905.18925.6+452
75 to 793454.15264.67734.8+428
80 to 842372.93473.05583.5+321
85 and over2192.62502.23532.2+134
Total persons8,318100.011,548100.015,943100.0+7,625
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Drouin (North) was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 289 and account for 6.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 822 persons.

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