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Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast

Trafalgar - Trafalgar East

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Trafalgar - Trafalgar East indicate a 20.3% increase in population under working age, a 25.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Trafalgar - Trafalgar East is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Trafalgar - Trafalgar East - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42776.23466.64316.6+154
5 to 93638.23947.54857.4+122
10 to 142846.43727.14727.2+188
15 to 192565.73326.33946.0+138
20 to 242405.42675.13345.1+94
25 to 292505.62875.53505.4+100
30 to 342595.83025.83695.7+110
35 to 392896.53336.44076.2+118
40 to 442846.43416.54186.4+134
45 to 492876.43316.34076.2+120
50 to 542575.83065.83855.9+128
55 to 592876.42925.63605.5+73
60 to 642866.42865.53655.6+79
65 to 692756.23075.93555.4+80
70 to 741794.02705.23245.0+145
75 to 791523.42224.22674.1+115
80 to 841012.31142.21912.9+90
85 and over1272.91372.62033.1+76
Total persons4,453100.05,238100.06,515100.0+2,062
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Trafalgar - Trafalgar East was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 91 and account for 5.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 394 persons.

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