Baw Baw ShirePopulation forecast
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Trafalgar - Trafalgar East

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Trafalgar - Trafalgar East indicate a 20.3% increase in population under working age, a 25.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Baw Baw Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Trafalgar - Trafalgar East - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42776.23466.64316.6+154
5 to 93638.23947.54857.4+122
10 to 142846.43727.14727.2+188
15 to 192565.73326.33946.0+138
20 to 242405.42675.13345.1+94
25 to 292505.62875.53505.4+100
30 to 342595.83025.83695.7+110
35 to 392896.53336.44076.2+118
40 to 442846.43416.54186.4+134
45 to 492876.43316.34076.2+120
50 to 542575.83065.83855.9+128
55 to 592876.42925.63605.5+73
60 to 642866.42865.53655.6+79
65 to 692756.23075.93555.4+80
70 to 741794.02705.23245.0+145
75 to 791523.42224.22674.1+115
80 to 841012.31142.21912.9+90
85 and over1272.91372.62033.1+76
Total persons4,453100.05,238100.06,515100.0+2,062

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 203 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 191 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 267 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 324 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 355 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 365 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 360 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 385 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 407 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 418 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 407 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 369 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 350 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 334 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 394 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 472 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 485 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 431 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 137 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 114 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 222 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 270 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 307 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 286 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 292 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 306 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 331 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 341 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 333 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 302 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 287 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 267 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 332 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 372 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 394 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 346 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 127 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 101 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 152 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 179 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 275 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 286 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 287 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 257 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 287 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 284 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 289 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 259 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 250 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 240 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 256 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 284 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 363 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 277
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 66 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 78 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 45 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 54 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 47 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 79 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 68 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 79 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 76 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 77 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 74 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 66 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 63 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 67 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 62 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 99 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 91 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 84 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 70 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 32 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 0 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 5 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 49 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 37 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 76 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 88 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 69
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Trafalgar - Trafalgar East was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 91 and account for 5.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 394 persons.

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