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Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast

Pakenham Precinct

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Pakenham Precinct is forecast to grow from 12,706 in 2016 to 19,080 in 2041, with the average household size rising from 2.76 to 2.81 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Pakenham Precinct. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Pakenham PrecinctForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--6,1774,7052,2911,6573,052
Average annual change--3.39%2.24%1.00%0.69%1.22%
Average household size2.762.852.862.842.822.81
Population in non private dwellings312394470562676742
Dwelling occupancy rate96.0295.5395.6495.7395.5495.26
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Pakenham Precinct was estimated to be 34,006 people. It is expected to increase by over 13,174 people to 47,180 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 3.33%. This is based on an increase of over 4,212 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.76 to 2.84 by 2026.

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