Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Cardinia Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Cardinia Shire is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 29,942 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Cardinia ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--10,31113,55815,65816,74916,948
Deaths--2,9523,6324,2904,8775,354
Natural increase/decrease--7,3599,92611,36811,87211,594
Net migration--22,43818,02910,5762,694-5,976
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--146134224302314

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 722 2040 forecast population change: 1,115 2039 forecast population change: 1,056 2038 forecast population change: 1,315 2037 forecast population change: 1,723 2036 forecast population change: 2,224 2035 forecast population change: 2,778 2034 forecast population change: 2,841 2033 forecast population change: 3,316 2032 forecast population change: 3,709 2031 forecast population change: 3,992 2030 forecast population change: 4,321 2029 forecast population change: 4,318 2028 forecast population change: 4,582 2027 forecast population change: 4,955 2026 forecast population change: 5,136 2025 forecast population change: 5,600 2024 forecast population change: 5,606 2023 forecast population change: 5,875 2022 forecast population change: 5,871 2021 forecast population change: 5,998 2020 forecast population change: 6,170 2019 forecast population change: 6,358 2018 forecast population change: 6,000 2017 forecast population change: 5,418
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 2,269 2040 Natural increase: 2,294 2039 Natural increase: 2,321 2038 Natural increase: 2,345 2037 Natural increase: 2,365 2036 Natural increase: 2,377 2035 Natural increase: 2,382 2034 Natural increase: 2,384 2033 Natural increase: 2,374 2032 Natural increase: 2,356 2031 Natural increase: 2,334 2030 Natural increase: 2,309 2029 Natural increase: 2,280 2028 Natural increase: 2,246 2027 Natural increase: 2,198 2026 Natural increase: 2,141 2025 Natural increase: 2,071 2024 Natural increase: 1,994 2023 Natural increase: 1,906 2022 Natural increase: 1,813 2021 Natural increase: 1,711 2020 Natural increase: 1,594 2019 Natural increase: 1,465 2018 Natural increase: 1,343 2017 Natural increase: 1,246 2041 Total deaths: 1,102 2040 Total deaths: 1,087 2039 Total deaths: 1,072 2038 Total deaths: 1,056 2037 Total deaths: 1,037 2036 Total deaths: 1,018 2035 Total deaths: 997 2034 Total deaths: 976 2033 Total deaths: 954 2032 Total deaths: 932 2031 Total deaths: 908 2030 Total deaths: 884 2029 Total deaths: 859 2028 Total deaths: 833 2027 Total deaths: 807 2026 Total deaths: 781 2025 Total deaths: 754 2024 Total deaths: 727 2023 Total deaths: 699 2022 Total deaths: 671 2021 Total deaths: 642 2020 Total deaths: 616 2019 Total deaths: 590 2018 Total deaths: 563 2017 Total deaths: 540 2041 Total births: 3,371 2040 Total births: 3,382 2039 Total births: 3,392 2038 Total births: 3,401 2037 Total births: 3,402 2036 Total births: 3,395 2035 Total births: 3,380 2034 Total births: 3,359 2033 Total births: 3,328 2032 Total births: 3,287 2031 Total births: 3,242 2030 Total births: 3,193 2029 Total births: 3,139 2028 Total births: 3,079 2027 Total births: 3,005 2026 Total births: 2,922 2025 Total births: 2,825 2024 Total births: 2,721 2023 Total births: 2,605 2022 Total births: 2,484 2021 Total births: 2,353 2020 Total births: 2,210 2019 Total births: 2,055 2018 Total births: 1,906 2017 Total births: 1,786 2041 Natural increase: 2,269 2040 Natural increase: 2,294 2039 Natural increase: 2,321 2038 Natural increase: 2,345 2037 Natural increase: 2,365 2036 Natural increase: 2,377 2035 Natural increase: 2,382 2034 Natural increase: 2,384 2033 Natural increase: 2,374 2032 Natural increase: 2,356 2031 Natural increase: 2,334 2030 Natural increase: 2,309 2029 Natural increase: 2,280 2028 Natural increase: 2,246 2027 Natural increase: 2,198 2026 Natural increase: 2,141 2025 Natural increase: 2,071 2024 Natural increase: 1,994 2023 Natural increase: 1,906 2022 Natural increase: 1,813 2021 Natural increase: 1,711 2020 Natural increase: 1,594 2019 Natural increase: 1,465 2018 Natural increase: 1,343 2017 Natural increase: 1,246 2041 Total deaths: 1,102 2040 Total deaths: 1,087 2039 Total deaths: 1,072 2038 Total deaths: 1,056 2037 Total deaths: 1,037 2036 Total deaths: 1,018 2035 Total deaths: 997 2034 Total deaths: 976 2033 Total deaths: 954 2032 Total deaths: 932 2031 Total deaths: 908 2030 Total deaths: 884 2029 Total deaths: 859 2028 Total deaths: 833 2027 Total deaths: 807 2026 Total deaths: 781 2025 Total deaths: 754 2024 Total deaths: 727 2023 Total deaths: 699 2022 Total deaths: 671 2021 Total deaths: 642 2020 Total deaths: 616 2019 Total deaths: 590 2018 Total deaths: 563 2017 Total deaths: 540 2041 Total births: 3,371 2040 Total births: 3,382 2039 Total births: 3,392 2038 Total births: 3,401 2037 Total births: 3,402 2036 Total births: 3,395 2035 Total births: 3,380 2034 Total births: 3,359 2033 Total births: 3,328 2032 Total births: 3,287 2031 Total births: 3,242 2030 Total births: 3,193 2029 Total births: 3,139 2028 Total births: 3,079 2027 Total births: 3,005 2026 Total births: 2,922 2025 Total births: 2,825 2024 Total births: 2,721 2023 Total births: 2,605 2022 Total births: 2,484 2021 Total births: 2,353 2020 Total births: 2,210 2019 Total births: 2,055 2018 Total births: 1,906 2017 Total births: 1,786
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -1,612 2040 Total net migration: -1,427 2039 Total net migration: -1,265 2038 Total net migration: -1,030 2037 Total net migration: -642 2036 Total net migration: -213 2035 Total net migration: 153 2034 Total net migration: 458 2033 Total net migration: 943 2032 Total net migration: 1,354 2031 Total net migration: 1,610 2030 Total net migration: 1,836 2029 Total net migration: 2,037 2028 Total net migration: 2,336 2027 Total net migration: 2,757 2026 Total net migration: 2,955 2025 Total net migration: 3,435 2024 Total net migration: 3,612 2023 Total net migration: 3,969 2022 Total net migration: 4,058 2021 Total net migration: 4,267 2020 Total net migration: 4,512 2019 Total net migration: 4,831 2018 Total net migration: 4,657 2017 Total net migration: 4,171 2041 Total out migration: 17,794 2040 Total out migration: 17,761 2039 Total out migration: 17,715 2038 Total out migration: 17,646 2037 Total out migration: 17,539 2036 Total out migration: 17,389 2035 Total out migration: 17,206 2034 Total out migration: 16,993 2033 Total out migration: 16,729 2032 Total out migration: 16,428 2031 Total out migration: 16,103 2030 Total out migration: 15,756 2029 Total out migration: 15,387 2028 Total out migration: 14,989 2027 Total out migration: 14,558 2026 Total out migration: 14,097 2025 Total out migration: 13,586 2024 Total out migration: 13,065 2023 Total out migration: 12,520 2022 Total out migration: 11,969 2021 Total out migration: 11,381 2020 Total out migration: 10,777 2019 Total out migration: 10,137 2018 Total out migration: 9,540 2017 Total out migration: 9,075 2041 Total in migration: 16,181 2040 Total in migration: 16,334 2039 Total in migration: 16,450 2038 Total in migration: 16,615 2037 Total in migration: 16,897 2036 Total in migration: 17,176 2035 Total in migration: 17,359 2034 Total in migration: 17,450 2033 Total in migration: 17,672 2032 Total in migration: 17,782 2031 Total in migration: 17,713 2030 Total in migration: 17,592 2029 Total in migration: 17,424 2028 Total in migration: 17,325 2027 Total in migration: 17,315 2026 Total in migration: 17,052 2025 Total in migration: 17,021 2024 Total in migration: 16,676 2023 Total in migration: 16,489 2022 Total in migration: 16,028 2021 Total in migration: 15,649 2020 Total in migration: 15,289 2019 Total in migration: 14,968 2018 Total in migration: 14,197 2017 Total in migration: 13,246 2041 Total net migration: -1,612 2040 Total net migration: -1,427 2039 Total net migration: -1,265 2038 Total net migration: -1,030 2037 Total net migration: -642 2036 Total net migration: -213 2035 Total net migration: 153 2034 Total net migration: 458 2033 Total net migration: 943 2032 Total net migration: 1,354 2031 Total net migration: 1,610 2030 Total net migration: 1,836 2029 Total net migration: 2,037 2028 Total net migration: 2,336 2027 Total net migration: 2,757 2026 Total net migration: 2,955 2025 Total net migration: 3,435 2024 Total net migration: 3,612 2023 Total net migration: 3,969 2022 Total net migration: 4,058 2021 Total net migration: 4,267 2020 Total net migration: 4,512 2019 Total net migration: 4,831 2018 Total net migration: 4,657 2017 Total net migration: 4,171 2041 Total out migration: 17,794 2040 Total out migration: 17,761 2039 Total out migration: 17,715 2038 Total out migration: 17,646 2037 Total out migration: 17,539 2036 Total out migration: 17,389 2035 Total out migration: 17,206 2034 Total out migration: 16,993 2033 Total out migration: 16,729 2032 Total out migration: 16,428 2031 Total out migration: 16,103 2030 Total out migration: 15,756 2029 Total out migration: 15,387 2028 Total out migration: 14,989 2027 Total out migration: 14,558 2026 Total out migration: 14,097 2025 Total out migration: 13,586 2024 Total out migration: 13,065 2023 Total out migration: 12,520 2022 Total out migration: 11,969 2021 Total out migration: 11,381 2020 Total out migration: 10,777 2019 Total out migration: 10,137 2018 Total out migration: 9,540 2017 Total out migration: 9,075 2041 Total in migration: 16,181 2040 Total in migration: 16,334 2039 Total in migration: 16,450 2038 Total in migration: 16,615 2037 Total in migration: 16,897 2036 Total in migration: 17,176 2035 Total in migration: 17,359 2034 Total in migration: 17,450 2033 Total in migration: 17,672 2032 Total in migration: 17,782 2031 Total in migration: 17,713 2030 Total in migration: 17,592 2029 Total in migration: 17,424 2028 Total in migration: 17,325 2027 Total in migration: 17,315 2026 Total in migration: 17,052 2025 Total in migration: 17,021 2024 Total in migration: 16,676 2023 Total in migration: 16,489 2022 Total in migration: 16,028 2021 Total in migration: 15,649 2020 Total in migration: 15,289 2019 Total in migration: 14,968 2018 Total in migration: 14,197 2017 Total in migration: 13,246
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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