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Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast

Cardinia Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Cardinia Shire is forecast for the period from 2022 to 2026, which is expected to have a net increase of 25,754 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Cardinia ShireForecast period
Component2022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births10,91212,53813,08113,052
Deaths3,6444,6105,4026,019
Natural increase/decrease7,2687,9287,6797,032
Net migration18,30112,8394,664-3,167
Change in persons in non-private dwellings18622430266
Total population change25,75520,99112,6453,932
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

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