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Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast

Cardinia Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Cardinia Shire is forecast to grow from 35,325 in 2016 to 71,241 in 2041, with the average household size rising from 2.86 to 2.91 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Cardinia Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Cardinia ShireForecast year
Summary201620212026203120362041
Population97,608126,184154,741179,675195,457200,238
Change in population (5yrs)--28,57628,55824,93415,7824,780
Average annual change--5.27%4.16%3.03%1.70%0.48%
Households33,94742,94752,29160,44465,92268,341
Average household size2.862.922.942.952.942.91
Population in non private dwellings6277829681,1921,4941,560
Dwellings35,32544,74654,47462,93468,66671,241
Dwelling occupancy rate96.1095.9895.9996.0496.0095.93
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Cardinia Shire was estimated to be 97,608 people. It is expected to increase by over 82,067 people to 179,675 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 6.29%. This is based on an increase of over 26,497 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.86 to 2.95 by 2026.

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