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Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast

Cardinia Shire

Population summary

Between 2021 and 2041, the population for Cardinia Shire is forecast to increase by 63,323 persons (52.99% growth), at an average annual change of 2.15%.

This table summarises the population for Cardinia Shire and each of its small areas. This enables you to see how population change is affecting different parts of the LGA in different ways. Some small areas may be rapidly growing whilst others are stable or even declining in population.

Continue to the forecast results section to see detailed forecasts of population and dwellings for each of the small areas.

Please note that population numbers in forecast.id for the 2021 base year are derived from Estimated Resident Population from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. These differ from (and are usually higher than) Census counts as they factor in population missed by the Census and population overseas on Census night. They are generally considered a more accurate measure of population size than Census counts.

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Population summary
Cardinia ShireForecast yearChange between 2021 and 2041
Area20212026203120362041Total changeAvg. annual % change
Cardinia Shire119,510145,265166,256178,901182,833+63,323+2.15
Beaconsfield Precinct4,2564,7265,1485,9026,116+1,860+1.83
Beaconsfield Upper & District4,4274,2884,2614,2964,336-91-0.10
Bunyip3,1503,7294,0314,3364,606+1,456+1.92
Cardinia Road Employment1,1003,7715,1595,2825,179+4,079+8.05
Cardinia Road Precinct24,67227,97329,23629,13228,634+3,962+0.75
Cockatoo - Nangana4,4804,3714,3524,3654,48000
Emerald - Clematis - Avonsleigh - Menzies Creek7,0037,0777,2067,2887,360+357+0.25
Garfield2,1052,3432,5502,8163,072+967+1.91
Gembrook2,5822,6852,8492,9543,058+476+0.85
Koo Wee Rup4,0574,8955,7906,4716,829+2,772+2.64
Lang Lang2,5402,9193,1173,3793,532+992+1.66
Nar Nar Goon - Tynong area1,5571,8681,9942,0572,089+532+1.48
Northern Rural3,8903,9654,0764,1964,345+455+0.55
Officer Precinct11,85423,88929,83931,28830,487+18,633+4.84
Pakenham Balance1,030959952962967-63-0.32
Pakenham East Precinct801,1178,87915,95516,915+16,835+30.70
Pakenham Precinct37,60141,55543,58544,88847,339+9,738+1.16
Southern Rural3,1253,1343,2323,3343,489+364+0.55
Cardinia Road East16,17816,84117,79717,95417,692+1,514+0.45
Cardinia Road West8,49411,13211,43911,17810,942+2,448+1.27
Pakenham Central3,7774,7915,3766,4418,306+4,529+4.02
Pakenham North East8,46710,02710,83010,96411,312+2,845+1.46
Pakenham North West12,07013,14813,48213,40213,322+1,252+0.49
Pakenham South West13,28713,58913,89714,08114,399+1,112+0.40
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

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