Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Cardinia Shire

Population summary

Between 2016 and 2041, the population for Cardinia Shire is forecast to increase by 101,000 persons (103.46% growth), at an average annual change of 2.88%.

This table summarises the population for Cardinia Shire and each of its small areas. This enables you to see how population change is affecting different parts of the LGA in different ways. Some small areas may be rapidly growing whilst others are stable or even declining in population.

Continue to the forecast results section to see detailed forecasts of population, households, and dwellings for each of the small areas.

Please note that population numbers in for the 2016 base year are derived from Estimated Resident Population from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. These differ from (and are usually higher than) Census counts as they factor in population missed by the Census and population overseas on Census night. They are generally considered a more accurate measure of population size than Census counts.

Population summary
Cardinia ShireForecast yearChange between 2016 and 2041
Area201620212026203120362041Total changeAvg. annual % change
Cardinia Shire97,625127,568155,657177,825192,694198,626+101,000+2.88
Beaconsfield Precinct4,3414,7615,0975,4886,1596,326+1,986+1.52
Beaconsfield Upper & District4,4854,4884,4694,4634,4864,522+37+0.03
Cardinia Road Employment91,5404,8726,1256,0995,960+5,951+29.50
Cardinia Road Precinct17,55425,51728,55130,56630,87030,501+12,947+2.23
Cockatoo - Nangana4,4724,5724,6014,6864,7684,860+388+0.33
Emerald - Clematis - Avonsleigh - Menzies Creek7,1167,2847,4267,5597,6317,693+577+0.31
Koo Wee Rup3,6804,2494,8275,6576,3446,666+2,986+2.41
Lang Lang1,5791,7652,0072,4352,8373,138+1,559+2.79
Nar Nar Goon - Tynong area1,5021,6981,9512,0562,1212,191+689+1.52
Northern Rural3,6753,7883,8313,8864,0014,158+483+0.50
Officer Precinct4,06615,60629,48835,24037,06036,893+32,828+9.22
Pakenham Balance1,1391,1661,1621,1661,1941,218+79+0.27
Pakenham East Precinct991001,3879,77717,58118,841+18,742+23.38
Pakenham Precinct33,91540,01943,94145,41546,67149,280+15,365+1.51
Southern Rural3,2083,2463,2703,8784,8065,714+2,506+2.34
Pakenham area48,31857,89063,32074,63084,32388,095+39,777+2.43
Growth Area Subregion61,12388,708114,498133,776145,634149,020+87,897+3.63
Hills Subregion22,19122,64822,93223,32823,72624,137+1,946+0.34
Rural (South and East) Subregion14,31216,21318,22820,72123,33325,469+11,158+2.33

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.