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Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast

Cardinia Shire

Non-private dwellings

911 people were estimated to be living in non-private dwellings in Cardinia Shire in 2024.

Residential non-private dwellings include aged care facilities as well as defence force facilities, hospitals, prisons, staff quarters and boarding houses. As a general rule, an increase in people aged 18 to 24 living in non-private dwellings indicates a growth in student accommodation, defence force facilities or prisons. Similarly an increase in people aged over 75 living in non-private dwellings indicates growth in aged care facilities.

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Persons in non-private dwellings
Cardinia ShireYearChange between 2021 and 2041
Area20212041Total changeAged 18 to 24 yearsAged 75+ years
Cardinia Shire8601,638+7780+761
Beaconsfield Precinct1248+360+36
Beaconsfield Upper & District7575000
Bunyip60102+420+42
Cardinia Road Employment00000
Cardinia Road Precinct1919000
Cockatoo - Nangana1111000
Emerald - Clematis - Avonsleigh - Menzies Creek83119+360+36
Garfield44000
Gembrook33000
Koo Wee Rup7373000
Lang Lang22000
Nar Nar Goon - Tynong area77000
Northern Rural4747000
Officer Precinct23339+3160+316
Pakenham Balance22000
Pakenham East Precinct00000
Pakenham Precinct419767+3480+331
Southern Rural2020000
Cardinia Road East1515000
Cardinia Road West44000
Pakenham Central109109000
Pakenham North East1616000
Pakenham North West175309+1340+118
Pakenham South West120334+2140+214
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

There were 860 people estimated to be living in non-private dwellings in Cardinia Shire in 2021. The number of persons in non-private dwellings in Cardinia Shire is expected to increase to 1,046 persons in 2026 and to 1,638 persons in 2041.

Between 2021 and 2026, Pakenham Precinct is forecast to experience the greatest change, with a gain of 348 persons in non-private dwellings. This is due to an increase of persons in non-private dwellings aged 75 years and over, which is predominantly aged care.

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