Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast
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Officer Precinct

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Cardinia Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Officer PrecinctForecast year
Summary201620212026203120362041
Population4,06214,70827,67234,22135,91235,074
Change in population (5yrs)--10,64612,9646,5491,692-838
Average annual change--29.35%13.47%4.34%0.97%-0.47%
Households1,4094,5068,37910,44511,14311,168
Average household size2.883.253.293.263.193.11
Population in non private dwellings04595203361361
Dwellings1,4784,7248,78210,94811,67911,706
Dwelling occupancy rate95.3395.3995.4195.4195.4195.40

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2019.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2041 Average household size: 3.11 2040 Average household size: 3.12 2039 Average household size: 3.14 2038 Average household size: 3.16 2037 Average household size: 3.17 2036 Average household size: 3.19 2035 Average household size: 3.21 2034 Average household size: 3.22 2033 Average household size: 3.23 2032 Average household size: 3.25 2031 Average household size: 3.26 2030 Average household size: 3.27 2029 Average household size: 3.28 2028 Average household size: 3.28 2027 Average household size: 3.29 2026 Average household size: 3.29 2025 Average household size: 3.29 2024 Average household size: 3.29 2023 Average household size: 3.28 2022 Average household size: 3.27 2021 Average household size: 3.25 2020 Average household size: 3.23 2019 Average household size: 3.20 2018 Average household size: 3.14 2017 Average household size: 3.00 2016 Average household size: 2.88 2041 Average household size: 3.11 2040 Average household size: 3.12 2039 Average household size: 3.14 2038 Average household size: 3.16 2037 Average household size: 3.17 2036 Average household size: 3.19 2035 Average household size: 3.21 2034 Average household size: 3.22 2033 Average household size: 3.23 2032 Average household size: 3.25 2031 Average household size: 3.26 2030 Average household size: 3.27 2029 Average household size: 3.28 2028 Average household size: 3.28 2027 Average household size: 3.29 2026 Average household size: 3.29 2025 Average household size: 3.29 2024 Average household size: 3.29 2023 Average household size: 3.28 2022 Average household size: 3.27 2021 Average household size: 3.25 2020 Average household size: 3.23 2019 Average household size: 3.20 2018 Average household size: 3.14 2017 Average household size: 3.00 2041 Households: 11,168 2040 Households: 11,166 2039 Households: 11,164 2038 Households: 11,163 2037 Households: 11,161 2036 Households: 11,143 2035 Households: 11,086 2034 Households: 10,979 2033 Households: 10,817 2032 Households: 10,649 2031 Households: 10,445 2030 Households: 10,190 2029 Households: 9,903 2028 Households: 9,529 2027 Households: 9,028 2026 Households: 8,379 2025 Households: 7,666 2024 Households: 6,884 2023 Households: 6,058 2022 Households: 5,257 2021 Households: 4,507 2020 Households: 3,858 2019 Households: 3,184 2018 Households: 2,468 2017 Households: 1,850 2016 Households: 1,410 2041 Total population: 35,074 2040 Total population: 35,247 2039 Total population: 35,425 2038 Total population: 35,606 2037 Total population: 35,787 2036 Total population: 35,912 2035 Total population: 35,904 2034 Total population: 35,558 2033 Total population: 35,178 2032 Total population: 34,764 2031 Total population: 34,221 2030 Total population: 33,494 2029 Total population: 32,543 2028 Total population: 31,392 2027 Total population: 29,794 2026 Total population: 27,672 2025 Total population: 25,330 2024 Total population: 22,690 2023 Total population: 19,925 2022 Total population: 17,234 2021 Total population: 14,708 2020 Total population: 12,518 2019 Total population: 10,189 2018 Total population: 7,756 2017 Total population: 5,557 2016 Total population: 4,062
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2019.
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