Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Cardinia Shire

Dwellings and development map

Between 2016 and 2036, Growth Area Subregion is forecast for the greatest increase in development of new dwellings in Cardinia Shire.

Visualising the geographic pattern of growth in dwelling stock across Cardinia Shire is a good starting point for assessing the scale and type of change each part of the area is undergoing. Some areas will be experiencing significant growth in new dwellings, either through greenfield development or densification and renewal.

However it would be a mistake to assume that areas not experiencing significant housing development are not undergoing change. Other processes will be at work such as the aging-in-place of the existing population and changing household structures. The age structure and household type maps will uncover these population shifts.

Forecast dwellings and development
Cardinia Shire20162036Change between 2016 and 2036
Cardinia Shire35,647100.067,127100.0+31,480+88.3
Beaconsfield Precinct1,4704.11,8942.8+424+28.8
Beaconsfield Upper & District1,4734.11,5552.3+82+5.6
Cardinia Road Employment30.02,0033.0+2,000+60,240.8
Cardinia Road Precinct6,14317.210,25115.3+4,108+66.9
Cockatoo - Nangana1,6394.61,8012.7+162+9.9
Emerald - Clematis - Avonsleigh - Menzies Creek2,5947.32,8384.2+244+9.4
Koo Wee Rup1,3553.82,1133.1+758+55.9
Lang Lang6461.81,1471.7+501+77.5
Nar Nar Goon - Tynong area5511.57261.1+175+31.8
Northern Rural1,3293.71,5732.3+244+18.4
Officer Precinct1,4874.212,66318.9+11,176+751.4
Pakenham Balance3951.14350.6+40+10.1
Pakenham East Precinct360.15,5568.3+5,520+15,479.5
Pakenham Precinct12,83836.017,44526.0+4,607+35.9
Southern Rural1,2053.41,3652.0+160+13.3
Pakenham area17,84450.129,69244.2+11,848+66.4
Growth Area Subregion22,37262.850,24774.9+27,875+124.6
Hills Subregion7,90522.28,82513.1+920+11.6
Rural (South and East) Subregion5,37015.18,05512.0+2,685+50.0

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.