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Cardinia ShirePopulation forecast

Cardinia Shire

Dwellings and development map

Between 2021 and 2041, Pakenham East Precinct is forecast for the greatest increase in development of new dwellings in Cardinia Shire.

Visualising the geographic pattern of growth in dwelling stock across Cardinia Shire is a good starting point for assessing the scale and type of change each part of the area is undergoing. Some areas will be experiencing significant growth in new dwellings, either through greenfield development or densification and renewal.

However it would be a mistake to assume that areas not experiencing significant housing development are not undergoing change. Other processes will be at work such as the aging-in-place of the existing population and changing household structures. The age structure map helps visualize population shifts.

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Forecast dwellings and development
Cardinia Shire20212041Change between 2021 and 2041
AreaNumber%Number%Number%
Cardinia Shire43,502100.069,997100.0+26,495+60.9
Beaconsfield Precinct1,4853.42,1213.0+636+42.8
Beaconsfield Upper & District1,4713.41,5392.2+68+4.6
Bunyip1,1452.61,6892.4+544+47.5
Cardinia Road Employment4511.02,0793.0+1,628+360.8
Cardinia Road Precinct8,44619.410,45814.9+2,012+23.8
Cockatoo - Nangana1,6563.81,8162.6+160+9.7
Emerald - Clematis - Avonsleigh - Menzies Creek2,5725.92,7473.9+175+6.8
Garfield8001.81,2101.7+410+51.3
Gembrook9392.21,1141.6+175+18.6
Koo Wee Rup1,5153.52,5183.6+1,003+66.2
Lang Lang1,0082.31,4372.1+429+42.6
Nar Nar Goon - Tynong area5831.37791.1+196+33.6
Northern Rural1,3883.21,5702.2+182+13.1
Officer Precinct4,1459.511,12715.9+6,982+168.4
Pakenham Balance3700.94100.6+40+10.8
Pakenham East Precinct280.17,23410.3+7,206+25,853.1
Pakenham Precinct14,29032.818,75926.8+4,469+31.3
Southern Rural1,2102.81,3902.0+180+14.9
Cardinia Road East5,49712.66,3999.1+902+16.4
Cardinia Road West2,9486.84,0585.8+1,110+37.6
Pakenham Central1,8644.33,9845.7+2,120+113.8
Pakenham North East3,2667.54,3896.3+1,123+34.4
Pakenham North West4,74010.95,4627.8+722+15.2
Pakenham South West4,41910.24,9237.0+504+11.4
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

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