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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Melton South (Existing)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Melton South (Existing) indicate a 36.1% increase in population under working age, a 66.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 28.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Melton South (Existing) is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton South (Existing) - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 48008.09266.88386.1+38
5 to 97207.29126.78436.2+124
10 to 145585.69917.39056.6+347
15 to 195615.69727.29046.6+343
20 to 246987.08366.28125.9+113
25 to 297617.67815.87495.5-11
30 to 347998.09016.78266.1+27
35 to 396426.49026.78286.1+187
40 to 446756.79677.19076.6+232
45 to 495765.88896.68686.4+291
50 to 545535.57735.78356.1+282
55 to 595715.76865.17675.6+196
60 to 646666.76204.67215.3+55
65 to 696076.16294.67205.3+113
70 to 743063.15754.26474.7+341
75 to 791711.74863.65424.0+371
80 to 841531.53772.84643.4+311
85 and over1931.93142.34793.5+286
Total persons10,010100.013,537100.013,656100.0+3,646
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Melton South (Existing) was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 433 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 991 persons.

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