City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Melton South (Existing)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Melton South (Existing) indicate a 38.9% increase in population under working age, a 69.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 29.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton South (Existing) - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 48008.09346.88476.1+47
5 to 97207.29356.88526.2+133
10 to 145585.61,0187.49146.6+356
15 to 195615.69997.39116.6+350
20 to 246987.08356.18195.9+121
25 to 297617.67675.67585.5-3
30 to 347998.08916.58366.1+37
35 to 396426.49146.68386.1+196
40 to 446756.79827.19176.6+242
45 to 495765.89206.78756.3+299
50 to 545535.57985.88416.1+288
55 to 595715.77085.17735.6+202
60 to 646666.76334.67285.3+62
65 to 696076.16404.67325.3+125
70 to 743063.15944.36574.8+351
75 to 791711.74993.65514.0+379
80 to 841531.53792.84693.4+316
85 and over1931.93152.34843.5+291
Total persons10,010100.013,760100.013,801100.0+3,791

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 484 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 469 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 551 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 657 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 732 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 728 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 773 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 841 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 875 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 917 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 838 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 836 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 758 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 819 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 911 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 914 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 852 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 847 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 315 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 379 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 499 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 594 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 640 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 633 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 708 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 798 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 920 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 982 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 914 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 891 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 767 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 835 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 999 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 1,018 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 935 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 934 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 193 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 153 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 171 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 306 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 607 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 666 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 571 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 553 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 576 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 675 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 642 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 799 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 761 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 698 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 561 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 558 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 720 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 800
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 169 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 89 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 52 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 63 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 92 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 95 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 65 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: 43 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: -45 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: -66 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: -77 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: -55 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: -9 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: -15 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: -88 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: -103 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: -83 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: -87 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 122 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 227 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 327 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 288 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 33 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: -33 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 136 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 245 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 343 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 307 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 272 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 91 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 7 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 136 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 438 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 459 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 216 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 134
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Melton South (Existing) was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 459 and account for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 1,018 persons.

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