City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Burnside Heights

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Burnside Heights indicate a 6.3% decrease in population under working age, a 145.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Burnside Heights - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 477512.15317.74827.1-293
5 to 968710.76199.05818.5-106
10 to 144346.76269.15688.3+134
15 to 194286.76179.05397.9+111
20 to 243785.94306.24266.2+48
25 to 293986.23635.33865.7-12
30 to 3471211.15037.35077.4-205
35 to 3977212.05838.55758.4-197
40 to 445448.55778.45608.2+16
45 to 493926.14786.94336.3+41
50 to 542814.44136.03625.3+81
55 to 592153.33054.43074.5+92
60 to 641752.72603.82774.1+102
65 to 691312.02243.22663.9+135
70 to 74550.91732.52263.3+171
75 to 79280.41151.71602.4+132
80 to 84230.4570.81041.5+81
85 and over30.0190.3570.8+54
Total persons6,431100.06,893100.06,817100.0+386

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 57 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 104 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 160 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 226 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 266 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 277 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 307 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 362 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 433 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 560 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 575 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 507 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 386 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 426 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 539 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 568 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 581 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 482 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 19 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 57 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 115 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 173 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 224 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 260 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 305 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 413 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 478 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 577 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 583 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 503 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 363 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 430 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 617 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 626 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 619 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 531 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 3 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 23 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 28 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 55 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 131 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 175 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 215 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 281 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 392 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 544 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 772 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 712 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 398 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 378 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 428 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 434 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 687 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 775
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 38 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 47 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 45 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 54 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 42 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 17 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 2 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: -52 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: -46 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: -18 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: -8 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: 4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: 23 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: -4 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: -78 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: -58 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: -37 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: -49 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 16 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 34 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 87 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 118 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 93 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 85 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 90 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 132 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 86 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 33 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: -189 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: -209 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: -35 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 52 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 189 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 192 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: -68 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: -244
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Burnside Heights was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 12.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 192 and account for 9.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 626 persons.

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