City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Harkness

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Harkness indicate a 42.8% increase in population under working age, a 148.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 46.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Harkness - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,03111.31,1498.31,8768.7+844
5 to 98659.51,2599.11,9068.9+1,041
10 to 146737.41,2609.11,8198.5+1,147
15 to 196196.81,1618.41,6017.5+982
20 to 246877.58566.21,3106.1+623
25 to 298949.87775.61,3576.3+463
30 to 3492410.19146.61,5667.3+642
35 to 397137.81,0857.91,6857.8+972
40 to 446587.21,1548.41,6177.5+959
45 to 494985.51,0147.41,3446.3+846
50 to 544104.57865.71,1165.2+706
55 to 593423.76294.69824.6+640
60 to 643133.45123.78724.1+559
65 to 692412.64213.17513.5+510
70 to 741401.53242.46022.8+462
75 to 79790.92461.84702.2+391
80 to 84210.21451.13381.6+317
85 and over100.1840.62641.2+254
Total persons9,119100.013,776100.021,477100.0+12,358

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 264 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 338 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 470 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 602 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 751 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 872 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 982 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 1,116 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 1,344 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 1,617 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 1,685 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 1,566 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 1,357 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 1,310 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 1,601 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 1,819 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 1,906 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 1,876 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 84 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 145 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 246 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 324 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 421 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 512 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 629 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 786 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 1,014 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 1,154 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 1,085 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 914 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 777 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 856 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 1,161 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 1,260 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 1,259 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 1,149 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 10 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 21 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 79 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 140 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 241 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 313 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 342 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 410 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 498 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 658 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 713 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 924 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 894 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 687 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 619 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 673 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 865 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,031
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 180 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 193 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 224 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 278 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 330 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 361 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 353 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: 330 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: 330 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: 463 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: 600 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: 652 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: 580 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: 455 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: 440 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: 559 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: 648 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: 726 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 74 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 124 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 166 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 184 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 180 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 198 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 287 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 376 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 517 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 496 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 372 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: -10 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: -116 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 169 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 542 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 588 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 394 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 118
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Harkness was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 11.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 588 and account for 9.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 1,260 persons.

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