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City of MeltonPopulation forecast


Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Harkness indicate a 42.6% increase in population under working age, a 145.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 46.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Harkness is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Harkness - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,03111.31,1588.41,8718.7+839
5 to 98659.51,2569.21,9018.9+1,036
10 to 146737.41,2499.11,8168.5+1,143
15 to 196196.81,1478.41,5997.5+980
20 to 246877.58566.21,3096.1+622
25 to 298949.87935.81,3536.3+460
30 to 3492410.19276.81,5617.3+637
35 to 397137.81,0847.91,6807.8+967
40 to 446587.21,1438.31,6137.5+955
45 to 494985.59987.31,3446.3+846
50 to 544104.57735.61,1175.2+707
55 to 593423.76234.59804.6+638
60 to 643133.45063.78684.1+554
65 to 692412.64163.07453.5+504
70 to 741401.53192.35972.8+457
75 to 79790.92431.84682.2+388
80 to 84210.21441.13361.6+314
85 and over100.1850.62631.2+253
Total persons9,119100.013,721100.021,419100.0+12,301
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Harkness was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 11.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 576 and account for 9.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 1,256 persons.

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