City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Melton Growth Areas

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Melton Growth Areas indicate a 1621.5% increase in population under working age, a 1213.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1021.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton Growth Areas - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47778.312,37110.527,5989.8+26,822
5 to 96116.511,3139.625,7029.1+25,090
10 to 145135.59,0427.723,2308.2+22,717
15 to 194004.36,9755.919,7867.0+19,386
20 to 247367.87,0206.016,6285.9+15,892
25 to 291,33314.210,7089.119,4536.9+18,120
30 to 341,22913.113,70611.624,8408.8+23,611
35 to 3994310.013,05911.126,5219.4+25,577
40 to 446647.19,7828.323,7188.4+23,054
45 to 495686.06,5565.619,7207.0+19,152
50 to 544374.64,5493.915,0645.3+14,627
55 to 593303.53,3842.910,8793.9+10,549
60 to 643533.82,6922.38,0942.9+7,741
65 to 692442.62,0701.86,2142.2+5,969
70 to 741451.51,5711.34,9971.8+4,852
75 to 79730.81,2141.03,9961.4+3,922
80 to 84320.39620.83,1351.1+3,103
85 and over100.18050.73,0051.1+2,995
Total persons9,399100.0117,780100.0282,579100.0+273,180

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 3,005 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 3,135 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 3,996 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 4,997 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 6,214 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 8,094 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 10,879 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 15,064 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 19,720 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 23,718 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 26,521 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 24,840 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 19,453 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 16,628 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 19,786 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 23,230 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 25,702 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 27,598 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 805 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 962 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 1,214 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 1,571 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 2,070 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 2,692 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 3,384 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 4,549 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 6,556 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 9,782 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 13,059 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 13,706 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 10,708 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 7,020 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 6,975 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 9,042 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 11,313 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 12,371 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 10 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 32 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 73 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 145 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 244 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 353 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 330 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 437 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 568 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 664 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 943 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,229 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,333 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 736 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 400 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 513 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 611 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 777
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 2,200 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 2,173 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 2,781 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 3,427 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 4,144 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 5,402 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 7,496 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: 10,515 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: 13,164 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: 13,936 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: 13,462 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: 11,134 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: 8,745 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: 9,608 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: 12,811 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: 14,188 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: 14,388 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: 15,227 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 795 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 931 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 1,141 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 1,425 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 1,826 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 2,339 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 3,053 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 4,112 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 5,988 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 9,118 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 12,116 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 12,477 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 9,376 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 6,284 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 6,575 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 8,529 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 10,702 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 11,595
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Melton Growth Areas was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 14.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 12,477 and account for 11.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 13,706 persons.

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