City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Fraser Rise

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Fraser Rise indicate a 668.4% increase in population under working age, a 954.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 598.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Fraser Rise - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 444510.63,23710.63,3077.7+2,862
5 to 93287.82,5918.53,2387.6+2,910
10 to 142736.52,2097.23,2117.5+2,938
15 to 191784.21,7105.62,9386.9+2,760
20 to 242516.01,7965.92,3525.5+2,101
25 to 2964915.53,07310.02,6696.2+2,020
30 to 3462814.93,74112.23,2827.7+2,655
35 to 3944010.53,31810.83,5388.3+3,098
40 to 442746.52,4518.03,4178.0+3,143
45 to 492014.81,7655.83,2357.6+3,033
50 to 541413.41,2644.12,8046.6+2,663
55 to 591012.49603.12,2505.3+2,149
60 to 641353.28682.81,8384.3+1,703
65 to 69711.76592.21,4493.4+1,378
70 to 74451.14461.51,1382.7+1,093
75 to 79240.62660.98452.0+821
80 to 84110.31600.56111.4+600
85 and over40.11040.36051.4+600
Total persons4,199100.030,616100.042,730100.0+38,530

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 605 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 611 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 845 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 1,138 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 1,449 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 1,838 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 2,250 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 2,804 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 3,235 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 3,417 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 3,538 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 3,282 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 2,669 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 2,352 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 2,938 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 3,211 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 3,238 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 3,307 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 104 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 160 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 266 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 446 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 659 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 868 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 960 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 1,264 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 1,765 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 2,451 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 3,318 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 3,741 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 3,073 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 1,796 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 1,710 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 2,209 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 2,591 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 3,237 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 4 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 11 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 24 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 45 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 71 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 135 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 101 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 141 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 201 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 274 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 440 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 628 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 649 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 251 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 178 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 273 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 328 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 445
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 501 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 451 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 580 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 692 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 790 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 970 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 1,291 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: 1,540 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: 1,469 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: 966 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: 221 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: -459 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: -404 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: 556 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: 1,229 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: 1,002 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: 647 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: 71 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 100 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 149 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 242 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 401 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 588 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 733 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 859 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 1,122 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 1,564 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 2,177 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 2,877 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 3,113 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 2,424 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 1,545 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 1,531 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 1,936 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 2,263 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 2,792
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Fraser Rise was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 15.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 3,113 and account for 12.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 3,741 persons.

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