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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

City of Melton

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for the City of Melton indicate a 107.8% increase in population under working age, a 138.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 98.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Melton - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 412,3168.724,4718.541,2248.4+28,908
5 to 912,3308.724,9388.641,9198.6+29,589
10 to 1410,3267.323,2648.139,4678.1+29,141
15 to 199,2616.520,5567.134,9757.1+25,714
20 to 249,3966.617,8096.229,3456.0+19,949
25 to 2910,6627.520,2747.031,4566.4+20,794
30 to 3411,9248.424,9148.638,4877.9+26,563
35 to 3912,0758.525,6968.941,1278.4+29,052
40 to 4411,4858.122,9227.938,4917.9+27,006
45 to 499,5026.718,4206.433,2346.8+23,732
50 to 547,7575.515,1515.227,4695.6+19,712
55 to 596,7294.812,4674.321,9794.5+15,250
60 to 646,0564.310,2803.617,8043.6+11,748
65 to 694,8633.48,4142.914,8193.0+9,956
70 to 742,9912.16,9222.412,6072.6+9,616
75 to 791,7841.35,5221.910,3612.1+8,577
80 to 841,1100.83,9411.47,9811.6+6,871
85 and over8530.62,8201.06,7071.4+5,854
Total persons141,420100.0288,781100.0489,452100.0+348,032
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Melton was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 13,621 and account for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 25,696 persons.

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