City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Melton

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for the City of Melton indicate a 87.9% increase in population under working age, a 168.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 90.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Melton - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 12,3968.724,3408.839,8688.3+27,472
5 to 9 12,3768.722,3858.138,1978.0+25,821
10 to 14 10,3297.319,2316.933,5227.0+23,193
15 to 19 9,2686.517,5216.330,5596.4+21,291
20 to 24 9,4116.618,9036.830,7536.4+21,342
25 to 29 10,6447.522,1428.033,9147.1+23,270
30 to 34 11,9538.424,0508.737,2277.8+25,274
35 to 39 12,0858.522,4338.136,1197.6+24,034
40 to 44 11,5108.118,9896.831,8836.7+20,373
45 to 49 9,4946.716,9176.129,6456.2+20,151
50 to 54 7,7955.514,9525.426,6675.6+18,872
55 to 59 6,7394.813,3194.823,4744.9+16,735
60 to 64 6,0734.311,2514.120,3354.3+14,262
65 to 69 4,8713.49,3863.417,8813.7+13,010
70 to 74 3,0112.17,8772.815,9483.3+12,937
75 to 79 1,7911.36,4062.313,6872.9+11,896
80 to 84 1,1080.84,5991.710,3342.2+9,226
85 and over8950.63,0731.17,8871.7+6,992
Total persons141,749100.0277,776100.0477,900100.0+336,151

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 7,887 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 10,334 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 13,687 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 15,948 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 17,881 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 20,335 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 23,474 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 26,667 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 29,645 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 31,883 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 36,119 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 37,227 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 33,914 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 30,753 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 30,559 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 33,522 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 38,197 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 39,868 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 3,073 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 4,599 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 6,406 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 7,877 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 9,386 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 11,251 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 13,319 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 14,952 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 16,917 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 18,989 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 22,433 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 24,050 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 22,142 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 18,903 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 17,521 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 19,231 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 22,385 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 24,340 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 895 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,108 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,791 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 3,011 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 4,871 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 6,073 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 6,739 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 7,795 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 9,494 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 11,510 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 12,085 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 11,953 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 10,644 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 9,411 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 9,268 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 10,329 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 12,376 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 12,396
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 4,814 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 5,734 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 7,282 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 8,070 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 8,495 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 9,085 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 10,155 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: 11,715 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: 12,727 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: 12,895 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: 13,686 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: 13,177 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: 11,772 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: 11,849 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: 13,038 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: 14,291 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: 15,812 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: 15,528 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 2,178 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 3,491 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 4,615 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 4,866 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 4,515 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 5,178 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 6,580 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 7,157 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 7,423 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 7,479 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 10,348 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 12,097 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 11,498 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 9,492 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 8,253 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 8,902 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 10,009 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 11,944
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Melton was ages 0 to 4 , which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34 , which is expected to increase by 12,097 and account for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 24,340 persons.

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