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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

City of Melton

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for the City of Melton indicate a 89.9% increase in population under working age, a 127.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 81.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Melton - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 412,3168.722,2118.436,4358.1+24,119
5 to 912,3308.722,6998.638,5838.6+26,253
10 to 1410,3267.321,5058.136,4248.1+26,098
15 to 199,2616.519,1627.232,3787.2+23,117
20 to 249,3966.616,3356.226,9526.0+17,556
25 to 2910,6627.517,9386.828,5506.4+17,888
30 to 3411,9248.421,7908.234,7757.8+22,851
35 to 3912,0758.522,8678.637,4218.4+25,346
40 to 4411,4858.120,9327.935,3707.9+23,885
45 to 499,5026.717,0736.530,5366.8+21,034
50 to 547,7575.514,2285.425,1515.6+17,394
55 to 596,7294.811,7824.520,2084.5+13,479
60 to 646,0564.39,7693.716,4763.7+10,420
65 to 694,8633.48,0133.013,7533.1+8,890
70 to 742,9912.16,6182.511,6922.6+8,701
75 to 791,7841.35,2992.09,6062.1+7,822
80 to 841,1100.83,7571.47,4471.7+6,337
85 and over8530.62,6741.06,2941.4+5,441
Total persons141,420100.0264,651100.0448,053100.0+306,633
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Melton was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 11,179 and account for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 22,867 persons.

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