City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Melton

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for the City of Melton indicate a 102.2% increase in population under working age, a 138.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 96.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Melton - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 12,3168.723,8988.441,3838.5+29,067
5 to 9 12,3308.724,0298.440,8138.4+28,483
10 to 14 10,3267.322,7728.038,9168.0+28,590
15 to 19 9,2616.520,6917.334,8817.2+25,620
20 to 24 9,3966.618,1276.429,2566.0+19,860
25 to 29 10,6627.520,2867.131,0276.4+20,365
30 to 34 11,9248.424,2638.537,4407.7+25,516
35 to 39 12,0758.524,7408.740,2318.3+28,156
40 to 44 11,4858.122,2517.838,1467.9+26,661
45 to 49 9,5026.717,8146.332,6226.7+23,120
50 to 54 7,7575.514,9305.226,9485.6+19,191
55 to 59 6,7294.812,5744.421,7524.5+15,023
60 to 64 6,0564.310,5603.717,8833.7+11,827
65 to 69 4,8633.48,5963.015,1433.1+10,280
70 to 74 2,9912.16,9132.412,8762.7+9,885
75 to 79 1,7841.35,4301.910,5572.2+8,773
80 to 84 1,1100.83,8731.48,1901.7+7,080
85 and over8530.62,8331.06,9971.4+6,144
Total persons141,420100.0284,579100.0485,061100.0+343,641

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 6,997 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 8,190 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 10,557 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 12,876 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 15,143 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 17,883 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 21,752 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 26,948 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 32,622 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 38,146 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 40,231 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 37,440 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 31,027 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 29,256 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 34,881 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 38,916 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 40,813 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 41,383 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 2,833 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 3,873 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 5,430 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 6,913 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 8,596 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 10,560 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 12,574 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 14,930 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 17,814 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 22,251 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 24,740 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 24,263 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 20,286 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 18,127 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 20,691 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 22,772 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 24,029 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 23,898 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 853 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,110 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,784 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2,991 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 4,863 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 6,056 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 6,729 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 7,757 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 9,502 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 11,485 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 12,075 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 11,924 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 10,662 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 9,396 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 9,261 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 10,326 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 12,330 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 12,316
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 4,164 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 4,317 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 5,127 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 5,963 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 6,547 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 7,323 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 9,178 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: 12,018 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: 14,808 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: 15,895 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: 15,491 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: 13,177 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: 10,742 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: 11,129 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: 14,190 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: 16,144 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: 16,784 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: 17,485 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 1,980 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 2,763 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 3,646 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 3,922 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 3,733 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 4,504 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 5,845 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 7,173 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 8,312 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 10,766 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 12,665 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 12,339 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 9,624 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 8,731 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 11,430 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 12,446 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 11,699 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 11,582
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Melton was ages 5 to 9 , which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 12,665 and account for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 24,740 persons.

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