City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Kurunjang

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Kurunjang indicate a 17.6% increase in population under working age, a 75.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kurunjang - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 48908.58626.98596.7-31
5 to 98568.29707.89677.5+111
10 to 147267.01,0768.61,0588.2+332
15 to 197226.91,0468.41,0147.9+292
20 to 247397.18336.78346.5+96
25 to 298528.27666.17866.1-65
30 to 347947.67466.07455.8-50
35 to 397407.17596.17415.8+1
40 to 446876.68136.57826.1+95
45 to 496846.67626.17245.6+40
50 to 546716.47816.37625.9+91
55 to 596185.97375.97485.8+130
60 to 644984.86685.46715.2+173
65 to 694053.95454.45914.6+186
70 to 742282.24123.34963.9+269
75 to 791401.33102.54283.3+287
80 to 84780.82201.83542.8+276
85 and over910.91701.43062.4+215
Total persons10,417100.012,477100.012,866100.0+2,449

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 306 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 354 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 428 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 496 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 591 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 671 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 748 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 762 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 724 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 782 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 741 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 745 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 786 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 834 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 1,014 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 1,058 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 967 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 859 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 170 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 220 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 310 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 412 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 545 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 668 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 737 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 781 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 762 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 813 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 759 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 746 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 766 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 833 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 1,046 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 1,076 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 970 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 862 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 91 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 78 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 140 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 228 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 405 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 498 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 618 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 671 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 684 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 687 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 740 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 794 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 852 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 739 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 722 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 726 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 856 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 890
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 136 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 134 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 118 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 84 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 46 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 3 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 11 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: -19 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: -38 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: -31 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: -18 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: -1 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: 21 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: 2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: -33 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: -18 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: -3 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: -4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 79 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 142 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 169 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 185 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 140 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 170 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 119 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 110 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 78 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 126 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 19 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: -49 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: -86 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 94 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 325 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 350 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 114 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: -27
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Kurunjang was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 8.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 350 and account for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 1,076 persons.

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