City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Melton Township

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Melton Township indicate a 34.6% increase in population under working age, a 71.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 27.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton Township - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,0518.95,7067.67,5387.5+2,487
5 to 94,5598.16,0378.07,8977.8+3,337
10 to 143,7066.66,1798.27,8427.8+4,136
15 to 193,5886.45,9147.87,3407.3+3,752
20 to 244,0067.14,8006.46,2636.2+2,257
25 to 294,5498.14,6166.16,2416.2+1,692
30 to 344,5798.14,9826.66,6596.6+2,080
35 to 394,0257.15,1946.96,7966.7+2,771
40 to 443,7586.75,3727.16,8316.8+3,073
45 to 493,3996.04,8496.46,1266.1+2,727
50 to 543,0875.54,2555.65,6085.6+2,521
55 to 593,0285.43,7274.95,1255.1+2,098
60 to 643,0285.43,3734.54,6864.6+1,658
65 to 692,5924.63,0714.14,3694.3+1,777
70 to 741,5342.72,6633.53,8213.8+2,287
75 to 799001.62,1902.93,1863.2+2,286
80 to 845901.01,5562.12,5462.5+1,956
85 and over5170.91,0271.41,9712.0+1,455
Total persons56,495100.075,511100.0100,847100.0+44,351

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 1,971 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 2,546 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 3,186 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 3,821 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 4,369 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 4,686 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 5,125 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 5,608 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 6,126 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 6,831 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 6,796 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 6,659 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 6,241 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 6,263 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 7,340 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 7,842 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 7,897 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 7,538 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 1,027 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 1,556 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 2,190 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 2,663 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 3,071 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 3,373 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 3,727 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 4,255 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 4,849 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 5,372 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 5,194 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 4,982 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 4,616 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 4,800 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 5,914 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 6,179 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 6,037 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 5,706 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 517 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 590 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 900 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 1,534 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 2,592 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 3,028 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 3,028 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 3,087 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 3,399 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 3,758 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 4,025 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 4,579 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,549 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 4,006 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 3,588 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 3,706 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 4,559 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,051
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 944 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 990 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 996 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 1,159 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 1,298 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 1,314 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 1,398 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: 1,353 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: 1,277 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: 1,459 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: 1,602 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: 1,677 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: 1,625 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: 1,463 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: 1,426 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: 1,663 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: 1,860 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: 1,832 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 511 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 966 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 1,290 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 1,128 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 479 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 345 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 700 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 1,168 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 1,450 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 1,614 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 1,169 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 403 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 67 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 794 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 2,326 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 2,473 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 1,477 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 655
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Melton Township was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 2,473 and account for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 6,179 persons.

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