City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Melton East

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Melton East indicate a 11.6% decrease in population under working age, a 101.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton East - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,9188.54,4316.04,2395.8-1,679
5 to 96,6549.65,3577.25,0637.0-1,591
10 to 145,7378.36,4048.65,7327.9-5
15 to 194,9647.26,8149.25,8878.1+923
20 to 244,2866.25,3467.24,8676.7+581
25 to 294,2866.23,7855.13,8205.3-466
30 to 345,5388.04,1055.54,0595.6-1,479
35 to 396,5219.44,8346.54,6216.4-1,900
40 to 446,6029.55,5227.45,1117.0-1,491
45 to 495,1257.45,1446.94,4336.1-692
50 to 543,8565.65,1256.94,1805.7+324
55 to 592,9894.34,6966.33,9685.5+979
60 to 642,3523.43,8595.23,6605.0+1,308
65 to 691,8092.62,9434.03,4094.7+1,600
70 to 741,1611.72,2743.13,1704.4+2,009
75 to 797481.11,7462.32,7513.8+2,003
80 to 844490.61,1791.62,0802.9+1,631
85 and over3100.48711.21,6462.3+1,336
Total persons69,305100.074,435100.072,697100.0+3,392

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 1,646 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 2,080 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 2,751 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 3,170 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 3,409 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 3,660 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 3,968 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 4,180 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 4,433 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 5,111 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 4,621 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 4,059 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 3,820 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 4,867 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 5,887 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 5,732 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 5,063 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 4,239 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 871 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 1,179 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 1,746 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 2,274 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 2,943 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 3,859 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 4,696 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 5,125 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 5,144 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 5,522 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 4,834 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 4,105 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 3,785 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 5,346 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 6,814 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 6,404 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 5,357 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 4,431 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 310 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 449 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 748 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 1,161 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,809 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 2,352 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 2,989 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 3,856 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 5,125 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 6,602 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 6,521 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 5,538 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,286 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 4,286 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 4,964 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 5,737 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 6,654 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,918
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 775 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 901 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 1,005 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 896 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 467 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: -198 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: -728 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: -946 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: -711 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: -411 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: -213 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: -46 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: 35 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: -479 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: -928 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: -672 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: -294 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: -192 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 561 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 730 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 998 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 1,113 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 1,134 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 1,507 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 1,707 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 1,269 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 19 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: -1,080 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: -1,687 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: -1,433 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: -501 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 1,060 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 1,850 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 667 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: -1,297 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: -1,487
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Melton East was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 9.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 1,850 and account for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 6,814 persons.

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