City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Melton West

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Melton West indicate a 12.5% increase in population under working age, a 42.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton West - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47167.97347.51,0807.6+364
5 to 97348.17908.11,1788.3+444
10 to 146427.18308.51,2208.6+579
15 to 196186.87778.01,1438.0+524
20 to 246126.76536.79326.6+319
25 to 296146.86446.69286.5+314
30 to 346166.86626.89746.8+358
35 to 396717.46456.69716.8+300
40 to 446337.06346.59676.8+334
45 to 495956.65395.58365.9+241
50 to 545345.95255.47665.4+233
55 to 595926.54935.17055.0+113
60 to 645586.14634.86204.4+62
65 to 694074.54004.15463.8+139
70 to 742592.83683.84713.3+213
75 to 791301.43023.13912.8+261
80 to 84881.01831.92952.1+207
85 and over550.6890.91971.4+141
Total persons9,075100.09,729100.014,220100.0+5,145

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 197 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 295 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 391 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 471 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 546 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 620 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 705 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 766 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 836 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 967 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 971 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 974 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 928 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 932 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 1,143 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 1,220 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 1,178 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 1,080 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 89 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 183 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 302 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 368 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 400 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 463 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 493 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 525 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 539 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 634 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 645 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 662 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 644 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 653 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 777 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 830 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 790 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 734 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 55 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 88 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 130 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 259 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 407 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 558 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 592 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 534 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 595 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 633 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 671 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 616 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 614 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 612 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 618 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 642 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 734 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 716
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 108 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 112 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 90 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 103 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 146 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 157 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 212 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: 241 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: 298 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: 334 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: 326 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: 312 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: 283 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: 279 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: 365 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: 391 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: 388 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: 346 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 34 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 94 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 171 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 110 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: -8 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: -95 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: -99 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: -8 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: -56 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 0 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: -26 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 46 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 30 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 41 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 159 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 188 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 56 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 18
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Melton West was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 188 and account for 8.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 830 persons.

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