City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Aintree

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Aintree indicate a 13452.9% increase in population under working age, a 3247.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9730.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Aintree - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4117.01,3869.19606.2+949
5 to 9106.41,76211.61,2688.1+1,258
10 to 14138.11,4609.61,2087.7+1,195
15 to 19106.49966.51,1147.1+1,104
20 to 24138.47394.99055.8+892
25 to 29117.01,0807.19346.0+923
30 to 3495.51,60210.51,1677.5+1,158
35 to 391610.21,69911.21,2458.0+1,229
40 to 4463.81,3819.11,1857.6+1,179
45 to 49117.39506.21,1377.3+1,126
50 to 54106.46494.31,0656.8+1,055
55 to 5985.24452.99225.9+913
60 to 6463.82891.97134.6+707
65 to 69127.62071.45173.3+505
70 to 7453.21851.24162.7+411
75 to 7952.91721.13502.2+345
80 to 8410.91230.82781.8+277
85 and over00.0830.52171.4+217
Total persons155100.015,205100.015,601100.0+15,446

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 217 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 278 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 350 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 416 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 517 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 713 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 922 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 1,065 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 1,137 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 1,185 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 1,245 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 1,167 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 934 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 905 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 1,114 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 1,208 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 1,268 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 960 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 83 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 123 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 172 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 185 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 207 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 289 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 445 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 649 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 950 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 1,381 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 1,699 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 1,602 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 1,080 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 739 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 996 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 1,460 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 1,762 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 1,386 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 0 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 5 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 5 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 12 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 6 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 8 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 10 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 16 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 9 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 11 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 13 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 10 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 13 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 10 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 11
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 134 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 156 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 178 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 232 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 310 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 424 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 476 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: 416 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: 187 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: -195 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: -454 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: -435 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: -146 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: 166 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: 119 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: -252 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: -494 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: -426 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 83 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 121 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 167 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 180 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 195 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 283 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 437 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 639 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 939 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 1,375 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 1,683 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 1,594 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 1,069 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 726 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 986 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 1,447 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 1,753 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 1,375
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Aintree was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 10.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9, which is expected to increase by 1,753 and account for 11.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 1,762 persons.

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