City of MeltonPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Thornhill Park

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Thornhill Park indicate a 21092.3% increase in population under working age, a 2857.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9593.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Thornhill Park - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 456.01,08312.32,53410.5+2,529
5 to 944.695010.82,44310.1+2,439
10 to 1444.77228.22,1398.8+2,135
15 to 1967.45236.01,7367.2+1,730
20 to 2489.24495.11,3235.5+1,315
25 to 2934.06987.91,5756.5+1,572
30 to 3445.01,01511.52,1879.0+2,182
35 to 3955.61,03411.82,3809.8+2,375
40 to 4467.27688.72,0538.5+2,047
45 to 4978.44735.41,6106.6+1,603
50 to 5466.73083.51,2235.0+1,217
55 to 5956.32162.58953.7+890
60 to 6488.81381.66182.6+611
65 to 6967.0981.14221.7+416
70 to 7455.8881.03401.4+335
75 to 7921.8871.02991.2+298
80 to 8411.5911.02771.1+276
85 and over00.0500.61710.7+171
Total persons86100.08,790100.024,227100.0+24,140

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 171 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 277 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 299 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 340 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 422 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 618 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 895 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 1,223 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 1,610 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 2,053 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 2,380 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 2,187 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 1,575 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 1,323 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 1,736 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 2,139 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 2,443 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 2,534 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 50 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 91 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 87 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 88 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 98 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 138 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 216 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 308 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 473 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 768 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 1,034 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 1,015 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 698 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 449 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 523 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 722 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 950 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 1,083 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 0 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 5 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 6 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 8 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 5 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 6 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 7 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 5 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 8 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 4 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 4 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 121 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 185 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 212 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 252 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 324 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 480 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: 680 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: 915 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: 1,137 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: 1,286 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: 1,346 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: 1,172 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: 877 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: 874 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: 1,213 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: 1,417 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: 1,493 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: 1,451 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 50 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 90 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 86 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 83 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 92 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 130 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 210 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 302 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 466 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 762 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 1,030 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 1,010 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 694 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 441 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 517 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 718 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 946 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 1,078
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Thornhill Park was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 1,078 and account for 12.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 1,083 persons.

v19.09.08-1.0.0