City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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Burnside

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Burnside indicate a 38.3% increase in population under working age, a 78.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 39.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Burnside - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43477.04556.43865.6+39
5 to 93727.55127.24476.4+75
10 to 143687.45367.54837.0+115
15 to 193246.65097.14967.2+172
20 to 243276.64336.14266.1+99
25 to 292935.93725.23565.1+63
30 to 343156.44095.73755.4+60
35 to 393467.04536.34065.8+60
40 to 443827.75197.34646.7+82
45 to 493497.14946.94406.3+91
50 to 543316.74716.64216.1+90
55 to 592885.84195.93865.6+98
60 to 642124.33374.73394.9+127
65 to 691843.72803.93104.5+126
70 to 741412.92493.53074.4+166
75 to 791182.42393.33094.5+191
80 to 841012.02072.92723.9+171
85 and over1452.92523.53114.5+166
Total persons4,943100.07,146100.06,934100.0+1,991

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2051: 311 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2051: 272 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2051: 309 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2051: 307 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2051: 310 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2051: 339 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2051: 386 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2051: 421 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2051: 440 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2051: 464 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2051: 406 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2051: 375 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2051: 356 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2051: 426 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2051: 496 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2051: 483 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2051: 447 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2051: 386 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 252 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 207 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 239 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 249 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 280 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 337 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 419 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 471 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 494 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 519 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 453 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 409 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 372 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 433 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 509 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 536 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 512 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 455 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 145 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 101 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 118 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 141 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 184 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 212 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 288 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 331 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 349 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 382 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 346 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 315 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 293 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 327 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 324 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 368 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 372 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 347
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2051: 59 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2051: 64 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2051: 71 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2051: 57 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2051: 30 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2051: 2 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2051: -33 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2051: -50 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2051: -54 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2051: -55 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2051: -47 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2051: -34 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2051: -16 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2051: -8 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2051: -12 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2051: -52 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2051: -65 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2051: -70 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 107 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 106 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 121 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 108 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 96 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 125 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 131 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 140 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 145 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 137 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 107 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 94 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 79 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 106 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 185 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 168 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 140 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 108
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Burnside was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 185 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 536 persons.

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