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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

City of Melton

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for City of Melton indicate a 72.7% increase in females under working age, a 107.6% increase in females of retirement age, and a 81.7% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Melton - Total females202120362051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47,3388.112,9827.915,9427.3+8,604
5 to 97,6348.413,1298.016,2897.4+8,655
10 to 147,0517.811,9307.315,3397.0+8,288
15 to 195,7536.410,3476.313,6486.2+7,895
20 to 245,3355.99,4845.812,0505.5+6,715
25 to 296,6087.311,7497.114,3916.6+7,783
30 to 348,2499.114,9019.118,2978.4+10,048
35 to 398,2299.115,3019.319,2098.8+10,980
40 to 447,0637.813,4998.217,3587.9+10,295
45 to 496,0456.711,2356.815,1306.9+9,085
50 to 545,0655.69,0995.512,8375.9+7,772
55 to 594,1044.57,3634.510,9275.0+6,823
60 to 643,6114.06,1353.79,0804.1+5,469
65 to 693,1043.45,0543.17,5933.5+4,489
70 to 742,4412.74,1082.56,7053.1+4,264
75 to 791,3371.53,3482.05,7742.6+4,437
80 to 847790.92,5421.54,3392.0+3,560
85 and over6830.82,2731.44,0921.9+3,409
Total persons90,429100.0164,479100.0218,999100.0+128,570
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in City of Melton was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.1% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 7,072 and account for 9.3% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2036 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 15,301 females.

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