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Harkness

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Harkness is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 3,667 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
HarknessForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--1,2161,3121,1771,1721,380
Deaths--141199243292362
Natural increase/decrease--1,0741,1129358801,018
Net migration--2,593-150-9074171,103
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--00000

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2019.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2051 forecast population change: 173 2050 forecast population change: 217 2049 forecast population change: 291 2048 forecast population change: 295 2047 forecast population change: 400 2046 forecast population change: 547 2045 forecast population change: 584 2044 forecast population change: 642 2043 forecast population change: 605 2042 forecast population change: 531 2041 forecast population change: 516 2040 forecast population change: 482 2039 forecast population change: 419 2038 forecast population change: 398 2037 forecast population change: 306 2036 forecast population change: 317 2035 forecast population change: 381 2034 forecast population change: 312 2033 forecast population change: 175 2032 forecast population change: 111 2031 forecast population change: 41 2030 forecast population change: -48 2029 forecast population change: -18 2028 forecast population change: 22 2027 forecast population change: 31 2026 forecast population change: 114 2025 forecast population change: 147 2024 forecast population change: 148 2023 forecast population change: 264 2022 forecast population change: 290 2021 forecast population change: 306 2020 forecast population change: 427 2019 forecast population change: 814 2018 forecast population change: 896 2017 forecast population change: 1,224
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2051 Natural increase: 268 2050 Natural increase: 269 2049 Natural increase: 269 2048 Natural increase: 269 2047 Natural increase: 267 2046 Natural increase: 260 2045 Natural increase: 252 2044 Natural increase: 243 2043 Natural increase: 234 2042 Natural increase: 227 2041 Natural increase: 218 2040 Natural increase: 210 2039 Natural increase: 203 2038 Natural increase: 196 2037 Natural increase: 192 2036 Natural increase: 186 2035 Natural increase: 178 2034 Natural increase: 173 2033 Natural increase: 171 2032 Natural increase: 172 2031 Natural increase: 174 2030 Natural increase: 180 2029 Natural increase: 186 2028 Natural increase: 193 2027 Natural increase: 201 2026 Natural increase: 208 2025 Natural increase: 215 2024 Natural increase: 223 2023 Natural increase: 230 2022 Natural increase: 237 2021 Natural increase: 242 2020 Natural increase: 236 2019 Natural increase: 220 2018 Natural increase: 201 2017 Natural increase: 174 2051 Total deaths: 107 2050 Total deaths: 106 2049 Total deaths: 104 2048 Total deaths: 102 2047 Total deaths: 99 2046 Total deaths: 96 2045 Total deaths: 93 2044 Total deaths: 89 2043 Total deaths: 85 2042 Total deaths: 81 2041 Total deaths: 78 2040 Total deaths: 75 2039 Total deaths: 73 2038 Total deaths: 69 2037 Total deaths: 66 2036 Total deaths: 64 2035 Total deaths: 61 2034 Total deaths: 58 2033 Total deaths: 56 2032 Total deaths: 53 2031 Total deaths: 52 2030 Total deaths: 50 2029 Total deaths: 49 2028 Total deaths: 47 2027 Total deaths: 45 2026 Total deaths: 44 2025 Total deaths: 42 2024 Total deaths: 40 2023 Total deaths: 38 2022 Total deaths: 36 2021 Total deaths: 34 2020 Total deaths: 32 2019 Total deaths: 29 2018 Total deaths: 26 2017 Total deaths: 21 2051 Total births: 375 2050 Total births: 375 2049 Total births: 373 2048 Total births: 371 2047 Total births: 366 2046 Total births: 357 2045 Total births: 346 2044 Total births: 332 2043 Total births: 319 2042 Total births: 308 2041 Total births: 296 2040 Total births: 285 2039 Total births: 275 2038 Total births: 265 2037 Total births: 258 2036 Total births: 250 2035 Total births: 239 2034 Total births: 231 2033 Total births: 227 2032 Total births: 225 2031 Total births: 226 2030 Total births: 230 2029 Total births: 235 2028 Total births: 240 2027 Total births: 246 2026 Total births: 251 2025 Total births: 257 2024 Total births: 263 2023 Total births: 268 2022 Total births: 272 2021 Total births: 276 2020 Total births: 268 2019 Total births: 249 2018 Total births: 227 2017 Total births: 195 2051 Natural increase: 268 2050 Natural increase: 269 2049 Natural increase: 269 2048 Natural increase: 269 2047 Natural increase: 267 2046 Natural increase: 260 2045 Natural increase: 252 2044 Natural increase: 243 2043 Natural increase: 234 2042 Natural increase: 227 2041 Natural increase: 218 2040 Natural increase: 210 2039 Natural increase: 203 2038 Natural increase: 196 2037 Natural increase: 192 2036 Natural increase: 186 2035 Natural increase: 178 2034 Natural increase: 173 2033 Natural increase: 171 2032 Natural increase: 172 2031 Natural increase: 174 2030 Natural increase: 180 2029 Natural increase: 186 2028 Natural increase: 193 2027 Natural increase: 201 2026 Natural increase: 208 2025 Natural increase: 215 2024 Natural increase: 223 2023 Natural increase: 230 2022 Natural increase: 237 2021 Natural increase: 242 2020 Natural increase: 236 2019 Natural increase: 220 2018 Natural increase: 201 2017 Natural increase: 174 2051 Total deaths: 107 2050 Total deaths: 106 2049 Total deaths: 104 2048 Total deaths: 102 2047 Total deaths: 99 2046 Total deaths: 96 2045 Total deaths: 93 2044 Total deaths: 89 2043 Total deaths: 85 2042 Total deaths: 81 2041 Total deaths: 78 2040 Total deaths: 75 2039 Total deaths: 73 2038 Total deaths: 69 2037 Total deaths: 66 2036 Total deaths: 64 2035 Total deaths: 61 2034 Total deaths: 58 2033 Total deaths: 56 2032 Total deaths: 53 2031 Total deaths: 52 2030 Total deaths: 50 2029 Total deaths: 49 2028 Total deaths: 47 2027 Total deaths: 45 2026 Total deaths: 44 2025 Total deaths: 42 2024 Total deaths: 40 2023 Total deaths: 38 2022 Total deaths: 36 2021 Total deaths: 34 2020 Total deaths: 32 2019 Total deaths: 29 2018 Total deaths: 26 2017 Total deaths: 21 2051 Total births: 375 2050 Total births: 375 2049 Total births: 373 2048 Total births: 371 2047 Total births: 366 2046 Total births: 357 2045 Total births: 346 2044 Total births: 332 2043 Total births: 319 2042 Total births: 308 2041 Total births: 296 2040 Total births: 285 2039 Total births: 275 2038 Total births: 265 2037 Total births: 258 2036 Total births: 250 2035 Total births: 239 2034 Total births: 231 2033 Total births: 227 2032 Total births: 225 2031 Total births: 226 2030 Total births: 230 2029 Total births: 235 2028 Total births: 240 2027 Total births: 246 2026 Total births: 251 2025 Total births: 257 2024 Total births: 263 2023 Total births: 268 2022 Total births: 272 2021 Total births: 276 2020 Total births: 268 2019 Total births: 249 2018 Total births: 227 2017 Total births: 195
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2051 Total net migration: -95 2050 Total net migration: -52 2049 Total net migration: 21 2048 Total net migration: 26 2047 Total net migration: 132 2046 Total net migration: 287 2045 Total net migration: 331 2044 Total net migration: 399 2043 Total net migration: 371 2042 Total net migration: 304 2041 Total net migration: 298 2040 Total net migration: 273 2039 Total net migration: 217 2038 Total net migration: 201 2037 Total net migration: 114 2036 Total net migration: 131 2035 Total net migration: 202 2034 Total net migration: 139 2033 Total net migration: 4 2032 Total net migration: -60 2031 Total net migration: -133 2030 Total net migration: -228 2029 Total net migration: -205 2028 Total net migration: -171 2027 Total net migration: -170 2026 Total net migration: -94 2025 Total net migration: -68 2024 Total net migration: -76 2023 Total net migration: 34 2022 Total net migration: 53 2021 Total net migration: 64 2020 Total net migration: 191 2019 Total net migration: 594 2018 Total net migration: 695 2017 Total net migration: 1,049 2051 Total out migration: 1,749 2050 Total out migration: 1,736 2049 Total out migration: 1,716 2048 Total out migration: 1,697 2047 Total out migration: 1,668 2046 Total out migration: 1,625 2045 Total out migration: 1,577 2044 Total out migration: 1,523 2043 Total out migration: 1,473 2042 Total out migration: 1,429 2041 Total out migration: 1,385 2040 Total out migration: 1,343 2039 Total out migration: 1,308 2038 Total out migration: 1,273 2037 Total out migration: 1,247 2036 Total out migration: 1,219 2035 Total out migration: 1,184 2034 Total out migration: 1,154 2033 Total out migration: 1,138 2032 Total out migration: 1,127 2031 Total out migration: 1,123 2030 Total out migration: 1,128 2029 Total out migration: 1,131 2028 Total out migration: 1,131 2027 Total out migration: 1,132 2026 Total out migration: 1,128 2025 Total out migration: 1,120 2024 Total out migration: 1,116 2023 Total out migration: 1,101 2022 Total out migration: 1,086 2021 Total out migration: 1,071 2020 Total out migration: 1,045 2019 Total out migration: 983 2018 Total out migration: 913 2017 Total out migration: 811 2051 Total in migration: 1,654 2050 Total in migration: 1,684 2049 Total in migration: 1,738 2048 Total in migration: 1,723 2047 Total in migration: 1,800 2046 Total in migration: 1,911 2045 Total in migration: 1,908 2044 Total in migration: 1,923 2043 Total in migration: 1,843 2042 Total in migration: 1,733 2041 Total in migration: 1,683 2040 Total in migration: 1,616 2039 Total in migration: 1,524 2038 Total in migration: 1,474 2037 Total in migration: 1,361 2036 Total in migration: 1,350 2035 Total in migration: 1,386 2034 Total in migration: 1,294 2033 Total in migration: 1,142 2032 Total in migration: 1,067 2031 Total in migration: 990 2030 Total in migration: 900 2029 Total in migration: 926 2028 Total in migration: 960 2027 Total in migration: 962 2026 Total in migration: 1,034 2025 Total in migration: 1,053 2024 Total in migration: 1,040 2023 Total in migration: 1,135 2022 Total in migration: 1,139 2021 Total in migration: 1,135 2020 Total in migration: 1,236 2019 Total in migration: 1,577 2018 Total in migration: 1,607 2017 Total in migration: 1,861 2051 Total net migration: -95 2050 Total net migration: -52 2049 Total net migration: 21 2048 Total net migration: 26 2047 Total net migration: 132 2046 Total net migration: 287 2045 Total net migration: 331 2044 Total net migration: 399 2043 Total net migration: 371 2042 Total net migration: 304 2041 Total net migration: 298 2040 Total net migration: 273 2039 Total net migration: 217 2038 Total net migration: 201 2037 Total net migration: 114 2036 Total net migration: 131 2035 Total net migration: 202 2034 Total net migration: 139 2033 Total net migration: 4 2032 Total net migration: -60 2031 Total net migration: -133 2030 Total net migration: -228 2029 Total net migration: -205 2028 Total net migration: -171 2027 Total net migration: -170 2026 Total net migration: -94 2025 Total net migration: -68 2024 Total net migration: -76 2023 Total net migration: 34 2022 Total net migration: 53 2021 Total net migration: 64 2020 Total net migration: 191 2019 Total net migration: 594 2018 Total net migration: 695 2017 Total net migration: 1,049 2051 Total out migration: 1,749 2050 Total out migration: 1,736 2049 Total out migration: 1,716 2048 Total out migration: 1,697 2047 Total out migration: 1,668 2046 Total out migration: 1,625 2045 Total out migration: 1,577 2044 Total out migration: 1,523 2043 Total out migration: 1,473 2042 Total out migration: 1,429 2041 Total out migration: 1,385 2040 Total out migration: 1,343 2039 Total out migration: 1,308 2038 Total out migration: 1,273 2037 Total out migration: 1,247 2036 Total out migration: 1,219 2035 Total out migration: 1,184 2034 Total out migration: 1,154 2033 Total out migration: 1,138 2032 Total out migration: 1,127 2031 Total out migration: 1,123 2030 Total out migration: 1,128 2029 Total out migration: 1,131 2028 Total out migration: 1,131 2027 Total out migration: 1,132 2026 Total out migration: 1,128 2025 Total out migration: 1,120 2024 Total out migration: 1,116 2023 Total out migration: 1,101 2022 Total out migration: 1,086 2021 Total out migration: 1,071 2020 Total out migration: 1,045 2019 Total out migration: 983 2018 Total out migration: 913 2017 Total out migration: 811 2051 Total in migration: 1,654 2050 Total in migration: 1,684 2049 Total in migration: 1,738 2048 Total in migration: 1,723 2047 Total in migration: 1,800 2046 Total in migration: 1,911 2045 Total in migration: 1,908 2044 Total in migration: 1,923 2043 Total in migration: 1,843 2042 Total in migration: 1,733 2041 Total in migration: 1,683 2040 Total in migration: 1,616 2039 Total in migration: 1,524 2038 Total in migration: 1,474 2037 Total in migration: 1,361 2036 Total in migration: 1,350 2035 Total in migration: 1,386 2034 Total in migration: 1,294 2033 Total in migration: 1,142 2032 Total in migration: 1,067 2031 Total in migration: 990 2030 Total in migration: 900 2029 Total in migration: 926 2028 Total in migration: 960 2027 Total in migration: 962 2026 Total in migration: 1,034 2025 Total in migration: 1,053 2024 Total in migration: 1,040 2023 Total in migration: 1,135 2022 Total in migration: 1,139 2021 Total in migration: 1,135 2020 Total in migration: 1,236 2019 Total in migration: 1,577 2018 Total in migration: 1,607 2017 Total in migration: 1,861
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2019.
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