Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Greenvale (South) - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Greenvale (South) - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke will increase by an average of 76 dwellings per annum to 5,565 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Shannon Rise - 28 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • Linlithgow Way - 36 dwellings (2017-2026)
  • Umbra (Mickleham Road) - 112 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • Providence Road Subdivision - 39 dwellings (2017-2021)
  • Umbra (Somerton Road) - 167 dwellings (2018-2022)
  • Greenvale South Future Urban - 1,440 dwellings (2020-2035)
  • Woodlands Precinct Structure Plan Area - 64 dwellings (2021-2034)
  • Low level of infill development assumed (1 dwelling per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 5,565 2040 Total dwellings: 5,564 2039 Total dwellings: 5,563 2038 Total dwellings: 5,562 2037 Total dwellings: 5,561 2036 Total dwellings: 5,560 2035 Total dwellings: 5,559 2034 Total dwellings: 5,543 2033 Total dwellings: 5,515 2032 Total dwellings: 5,474 2031 Total dwellings: 5,408 2030 Total dwellings: 5,312 2029 Total dwellings: 5,181 2028 Total dwellings: 5,050 2027 Total dwellings: 4,919 2026 Total dwellings: 4,788 2025 Total dwellings: 4,655 2024 Total dwellings: 4,521 2023 Total dwellings: 4,387 2022 Total dwellings: 4,248 2021 Total dwellings: 4,113 2020 Total dwellings: 4,003 2019 Total dwellings: 3,919 2018 Total dwellings: 3,805 2017 Total dwellings: 3,701 2041 Total dwellings: 5,565 2040 Total dwellings: 5,564 2039 Total dwellings: 5,563 2038 Total dwellings: 5,562 2037 Total dwellings: 5,561 2036 Total dwellings: 5,560 2035 Total dwellings: 5,559 2034 Total dwellings: 5,543 2033 Total dwellings: 5,515 2032 Total dwellings: 5,474 2031 Total dwellings: 5,408 2030 Total dwellings: 5,312 2029 Total dwellings: 5,181 2028 Total dwellings: 5,050 2027 Total dwellings: 4,919 2026 Total dwellings: 4,788 2025 Total dwellings: 4,655 2024 Total dwellings: 4,521 2023 Total dwellings: 4,387 2022 Total dwellings: 4,248 2021 Total dwellings: 4,113 2020 Total dwellings: 4,003 2019 Total dwellings: 3,919 2018 Total dwellings: 3,805 2017 Total dwellings: 3,701 2041 Forecast development: 1 2040 Forecast development: 1 2039 Forecast development: 1 2038 Forecast development: 1 2037 Forecast development: 1 2036 Forecast development: 1 2035 Forecast development: 16 2034 Forecast development: 28 2033 Forecast development: 41 2032 Forecast development: 66 2031 Forecast development: 96 2030 Forecast development: 131 2029 Forecast development: 131 2028 Forecast development: 131 2027 Forecast development: 131 2026 Forecast development: 133 2025 Forecast development: 134 2024 Forecast development: 134 2023 Forecast development: 139 2022 Forecast development: 135 2021 Forecast development: 110 2020 Forecast development: 84 2019 Forecast development: 114 2018 Forecast development: 104 2017 Forecast development: 47
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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