Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Sunbury (Jacksons - Redstone Hills)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Sunbury (Jacksons - Redstone Hills) will increase by an average of 243 dwellings per annum to 7,185 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Jacksons Hill - South - 78 dwellings (2017-2025)
  • Sunbury Development Area 5A - 2,000 dwellings (2019-2041)
  • Sunbury Development Area 4 - 3,970 dwellings (2020-2041)
  • Low level of infill development assumed (1-2 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 7,185 2040 Total dwellings: 6,745 2039 Total dwellings: 6,335 2038 Total dwellings: 5,935 2037 Total dwellings: 5,535 2036 Total dwellings: 5,145 2035 Total dwellings: 4,755 2034 Total dwellings: 4,365 2033 Total dwellings: 3,990 2032 Total dwellings: 3,650 2031 Total dwellings: 3,350 2030 Total dwellings: 3,065 2029 Total dwellings: 2,789 2028 Total dwellings: 2,538 2027 Total dwellings: 2,317 2026 Total dwellings: 2,106 2025 Total dwellings: 1,910 2024 Total dwellings: 1,723 2023 Total dwellings: 1,570 2022 Total dwellings: 1,446 2021 Total dwellings: 1,349 2020 Total dwellings: 1,257 2019 Total dwellings: 1,188 2018 Total dwellings: 1,156 2017 Total dwellings: 1,139 2041 Total dwellings: 7,185 2040 Total dwellings: 6,745 2039 Total dwellings: 6,335 2038 Total dwellings: 5,935 2037 Total dwellings: 5,535 2036 Total dwellings: 5,145 2035 Total dwellings: 4,755 2034 Total dwellings: 4,365 2033 Total dwellings: 3,990 2032 Total dwellings: 3,650 2031 Total dwellings: 3,350 2030 Total dwellings: 3,065 2029 Total dwellings: 2,789 2028 Total dwellings: 2,538 2027 Total dwellings: 2,317 2026 Total dwellings: 2,106 2025 Total dwellings: 1,910 2024 Total dwellings: 1,723 2023 Total dwellings: 1,570 2022 Total dwellings: 1,446 2021 Total dwellings: 1,349 2020 Total dwellings: 1,257 2019 Total dwellings: 1,188 2018 Total dwellings: 1,156 2017 Total dwellings: 1,139 2041 Forecast development: 440 2040 Forecast development: 410 2039 Forecast development: 400 2038 Forecast development: 400 2037 Forecast development: 390 2036 Forecast development: 390 2035 Forecast development: 390 2034 Forecast development: 375 2033 Forecast development: 340 2032 Forecast development: 300 2031 Forecast development: 285 2030 Forecast development: 276 2029 Forecast development: 251 2028 Forecast development: 221 2027 Forecast development: 211 2026 Forecast development: 196 2025 Forecast development: 187 2024 Forecast development: 153 2023 Forecast development: 124 2022 Forecast development: 97 2021 Forecast development: 92 2020 Forecast development: 69 2019 Forecast development: 32 2018 Forecast development: 17 2017 Forecast development: 22
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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