Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Sunbury (North)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Sunbury (North) will increase by an average of 23 dwellings per annum to 977 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Precinct 1 - GWAZ - 100 dwellings (2020-2039)
  • Moderate to high level of infill development assumed (6-32 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 977 2040 Total dwellings: 945 2039 Total dwellings: 913 2038 Total dwellings: 878 2037 Total dwellings: 843 2036 Total dwellings: 809 2035 Total dwellings: 777 2034 Total dwellings: 745 2033 Total dwellings: 713 2032 Total dwellings: 681 2031 Total dwellings: 652 2030 Total dwellings: 623 2029 Total dwellings: 595 2028 Total dwellings: 569 2027 Total dwellings: 543 2026 Total dwellings: 521 2025 Total dwellings: 502 2024 Total dwellings: 484 2023 Total dwellings: 466 2022 Total dwellings: 453 2021 Total dwellings: 441 2020 Total dwellings: 429 2019 Total dwellings: 418 2018 Total dwellings: 409 2017 Total dwellings: 402 2041 Total dwellings: 977 2040 Total dwellings: 945 2039 Total dwellings: 913 2038 Total dwellings: 878 2037 Total dwellings: 843 2036 Total dwellings: 809 2035 Total dwellings: 777 2034 Total dwellings: 745 2033 Total dwellings: 713 2032 Total dwellings: 681 2031 Total dwellings: 652 2030 Total dwellings: 623 2029 Total dwellings: 595 2028 Total dwellings: 569 2027 Total dwellings: 543 2026 Total dwellings: 521 2025 Total dwellings: 502 2024 Total dwellings: 484 2023 Total dwellings: 466 2022 Total dwellings: 453 2021 Total dwellings: 441 2020 Total dwellings: 429 2019 Total dwellings: 418 2018 Total dwellings: 409 2017 Total dwellings: 402 2041 Forecast development: 32 2040 Forecast development: 32 2039 Forecast development: 35 2038 Forecast development: 35 2037 Forecast development: 34 2036 Forecast development: 32 2035 Forecast development: 32 2034 Forecast development: 32 2033 Forecast development: 32 2032 Forecast development: 29 2031 Forecast development: 29 2030 Forecast development: 28 2029 Forecast development: 26 2028 Forecast development: 26 2027 Forecast development: 22 2026 Forecast development: 19 2025 Forecast development: 18 2024 Forecast development: 18 2023 Forecast development: 13 2022 Forecast development: 12 2021 Forecast development: 12 2020 Forecast development: 11 2019 Forecast development: 9 2018 Forecast development: 7 2017 Forecast development: 6
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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