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Hume CityPopulation forecast

Hume City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Hume City indicate a 55.7% increase in population under working age, a 77.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 47.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Hume City - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 416,8688.126,0158.229,7458.0+12,877
5 to 915,5317.524,2777.727,9507.5+12,419
10 to 1414,1076.822,0967.025,7696.9+11,662
15 to 1914,7097.120,5926.524,1806.5+9,471
20 to 2415,9647.721,0126.624,3056.5+8,341
25 to 2917,1568.323,6797.526,7457.2+9,589
30 to 3416,6508.026,1228.229,1277.8+12,477
35 to 3914,7327.125,6708.128,7787.7+14,046
40 to 4413,6876.623,0677.326,4707.1+12,783
45 to 4913,9366.720,6076.524,7496.6+10,813
50 to 5413,1766.317,5445.522,0645.9+8,888
55 to 5911,1685.415,2284.819,3085.2+8,140
60 to 649,2074.413,6734.316,3644.4+7,157
65 to 697,6693.711,8873.813,8433.7+6,174
70 to 745,3772.69,5173.011,8463.2+6,469
75 to 793,6361.77,2192.39,6912.6+6,055
80 to 842,4051.24,8981.56,7081.8+4,303
85 and over1,8520.93,5911.14,9851.3+3,134
Total persons207,830100.0316,694100.0372,627100.0+164,797
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Hume City was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 10,938 and account for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 26,122 persons.

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