Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Broadmeadows Shared Vision Area

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Broadmeadows Shared Vision Area indicate a 19.0% increase in population under working age, a 32.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 26.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Broadmeadows Shared Vision Area - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,0078.82,2757.92,8157.6+808
5 to 91,7147.52,0377.12,5716.9+858
10 to 141,5246.71,9286.72,3666.4+842
15 to 191,5536.81,8876.62,3576.4+804
20 to 241,9538.52,0847.32,6307.1+677
25 to 292,28610.02,5618.93,2018.7+915
30 to 341,9138.42,6889.43,2648.8+1,352
35 to 391,4206.22,4608.63,0078.1+1,587
40 to 441,3535.91,9846.92,6227.1+1,268
45 to 491,3475.91,6105.62,3576.4+1,010
50 to 541,3555.91,3784.82,0305.5+675
55 to 591,1385.01,3074.61,7224.7+584
60 to 648633.81,2334.31,4253.9+563
65 to 696963.01,0383.61,2383.3+543
70 to 746602.97782.71,1123.0+452
75 to 794662.05942.19982.7+532
80 to 844041.84431.57181.9+314
85 and over2431.14211.55721.5+329
Total persons22,893100.028,705100.037,006100.0+14,113

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 572 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 718 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 998 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 1,112 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 1,238 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 1,425 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 1,722 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 2,030 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 2,357 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 2,622 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 3,007 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 3,264 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 3,201 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 2,630 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 2,357 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 2,366 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 2,571 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 2,815 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 421 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 443 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 594 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 778 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,038 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,233 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,307 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,378 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,610 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,984 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 2,460 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 2,688 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 2,561 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 2,084 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,887 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,928 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,037 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,275 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 243 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 404 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 466 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 660 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 696 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 863 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,138 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,355 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,347 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,353 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,420 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,913 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,286 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,953 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,553 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,524 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,714 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 2,007
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 151 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 275 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 404 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 334 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 200 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 192 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 415 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 652 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 747 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 638 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 547 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 576 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 641 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 546 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 470 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 437 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 534 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 541 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 178 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 127 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 118 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 343 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 371 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 169 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 23 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 263 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 630 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,040 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 776 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 275 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 334 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 405 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 323 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 268
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Broadmeadows Shared Vision Area was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 1,040 and account for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 2,688 persons.

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