Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Sunbury

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Sunbury indicate a 41.1% increase in population under working age, a 42.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 24.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Sunbury - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,6367.03,6487.56,9378.0+4,302
5 to 92,5236.73,6497.56,7127.7+4,189
10 to 142,4116.43,3886.96,1527.1+3,741
15 to 192,6217.02,9626.15,3586.2+2,737
20 to 242,6597.12,8255.85,1766.0+2,517
25 to 292,5646.83,1386.45,7776.7+3,213
30 to 342,4416.53,6147.46,6877.7+4,246
35 to 392,3886.43,7847.76,9358.0+4,547
40 to 442,6487.03,6007.46,6967.7+4,049
45 to 492,7117.23,2276.66,0517.0+3,339
50 to 542,6137.02,9596.15,1806.0+2,567
55 to 592,4226.42,7115.54,4375.1+2,015
60 to 642,0615.52,4074.93,6914.3+1,630
65 to 691,7274.62,1354.43,1363.6+1,409
70 to 741,1383.01,7353.62,6053.0+1,466
75 to 798252.21,3392.72,0962.4+1,270
80 to 845941.68631.81,5741.8+980
85 and over5971.68671.81,4401.7+844
Total persons37,580100.048,851100.086,640100.0+49,060

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 1,440 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 1,574 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 2,096 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 2,605 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 3,136 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 3,691 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 4,437 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 5,180 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 6,051 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 6,696 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 6,935 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 6,687 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 5,777 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 5,176 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 5,358 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 6,152 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 6,712 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 6,937 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 867 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 863 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,339 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,735 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,135 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,407 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,711 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,959 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 3,227 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 3,600 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 3,784 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 3,614 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 3,138 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 2,825 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,962 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 3,388 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 3,649 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 3,648 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 597 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 594 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 825 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 1,138 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,727 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 2,061 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 2,422 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 2,613 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 2,711 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 2,648 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 2,388 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,441 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,564 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 2,659 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 2,621 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 2,411 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 2,523 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 2,636
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 574 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 711 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 757 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 870 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 1,001 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 1,284 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 1,727 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 2,221 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 2,824 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 3,097 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 3,151 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 3,074 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 2,638 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 2,350 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 2,396 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 2,764 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 3,063 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 3,290 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 270 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 269 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 514 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 596 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 408 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 346 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 288 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 346 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 515 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 952 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,396 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 1,172 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 574 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 167 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 341 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 977 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,126 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 1,012
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Sunbury was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 1,396 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 3,784 persons.

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