Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Sunbury (Central)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Sunbury (Central) indicate a 52.1% increase in population under working age, a 19.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 13.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Sunbury (Central) - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41223.91654.42334.6+111
5 to 9872.81564.22284.5+142
10 to 14812.61203.21813.5+100
15 to 191504.81213.21983.9+48
20 to 241565.01674.52474.8+90
25 to 291645.22306.23056.0+141
30 to 341645.22276.13196.2+155
35 to 391394.41995.32925.7+153
40 to 441575.01855.02785.4+121
45 to 491655.31794.82755.4+110
50 to 541785.72045.52935.7+116
55 to 591615.11925.12695.3+109
60 to 642427.71985.32685.2+27
65 to 692608.32135.73015.9+41
70 to 742146.82767.43216.3+107
75 to 792357.52837.63296.4+93
80 to 842036.52286.13035.9+100
85 and over2568.239110.54729.2+216
Total persons3,133100.03,735100.05,113100.0+1,980

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 472 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 303 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 329 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 321 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 301 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 268 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 269 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 293 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 275 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 278 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 292 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 319 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 305 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 247 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 198 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 181 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 228 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 233 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 391 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 228 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 283 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 276 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 213 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 198 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 192 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 204 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 199 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 227 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 230 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 167 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 121 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 120 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 156 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 165 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 256 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 203 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 235 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 214 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 260 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 242 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 161 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 178 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 165 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 157 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 139 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 164 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 164 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 156 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 150 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 81 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 87 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 122
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 81 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 75 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 45 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 45 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 88 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 71 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 77 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 90 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 95 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 93 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 92 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 92 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 75 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 79 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 77 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 61 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 72 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 68 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 135 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 62 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -47 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -44 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 32 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 15 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 28 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 64 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -29 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 69 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 43
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Sunbury (Central) was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 135 and account for 10.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 85 and over years, with a total of 391 persons.

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