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Hume CityPopulation forecast

Craigieburn Development area

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Craigieburn Development area indicate a 24.8% increase in population under working age, a 96.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 32.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Craigieburn Development area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Craigieburn Development area - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,80110.76,2948.76,8598.2+1,058
5 to 94,8168.95,9338.26,3337.5+1,516
10 to 143,5956.65,5057.65,7356.8+2,140
15 to 193,4996.54,8976.85,4116.4+1,912
20 to 243,9657.34,8856.75,5716.6+1,606
25 to 295,1089.45,7968.06,2947.5+1,186
30 to 345,83410.86,5999.16,9198.2+1,085
35 to 394,9219.16,4518.96,6597.9+1,738
40 to 443,6086.75,5027.65,7386.8+2,130
45 to 493,2406.04,7956.65,4316.5+2,192
50 to 542,8465.33,9135.44,9675.9+2,121
55 to 592,2344.13,3464.64,4935.4+2,260
60 to 641,7473.22,7983.93,8264.6+2,079
65 to 691,2622.32,1443.03,1093.7+1,848
70 to 747231.31,5762.22,5183.0+1,796
75 to 794520.81,0791.51,9922.4+1,540
80 to 842800.55780.81,2711.5+991
85 and over1880.33420.57870.9+599
Total persons54,117100.072,431100.083,913100.0+29,795
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Craigieburn Development area was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 10.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 1,911 and account for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 6,599 persons.

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