Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Craigieburn Development area

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Craigieburn Development area indicate a 24.8% increase in population under working age, a 96.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 32.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Craigieburn Development area - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,80110.76,2948.76,8598.2+1,058
5 to 94,8168.95,9338.26,3337.5+1,516
10 to 143,5956.65,5057.65,7356.8+2,140
15 to 193,4996.54,8976.85,4116.4+1,912
20 to 243,9657.34,8856.75,5716.6+1,606
25 to 295,1089.45,7968.06,2947.5+1,186
30 to 345,83410.86,5999.16,9198.2+1,085
35 to 394,9219.16,4518.96,6597.9+1,738
40 to 443,6086.75,5027.65,7386.8+2,130
45 to 493,2406.04,7956.65,4316.5+2,192
50 to 542,8465.33,9135.44,9675.9+2,121
55 to 592,2344.13,3464.64,4935.4+2,260
60 to 641,7473.22,7983.93,8264.6+2,079
65 to 691,2622.32,1443.03,1093.7+1,848
70 to 747231.31,5762.22,5183.0+1,796
75 to 794520.81,0791.51,9922.4+1,540
80 to 842800.55780.81,2711.5+991
85 and over1880.33420.57870.9+599
Total persons54,117100.072,431100.083,913100.0+29,795

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 787 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 1,271 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 1,992 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 2,518 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 3,109 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 3,826 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 4,493 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 4,967 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 5,431 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 5,738 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 6,659 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 6,919 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 6,294 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 5,571 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 5,411 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 5,735 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 6,333 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 6,859 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 342 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 578 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,079 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,576 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,144 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,798 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 3,346 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 3,913 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 4,795 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 5,502 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 6,451 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 6,599 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 5,796 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 4,885 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 4,897 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 5,505 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 5,933 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 6,294 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 188 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 280 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 452 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 723 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,262 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,747 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 2,234 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 2,846 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 3,240 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 3,608 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 4,921 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 5,834 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 5,108 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 3,965 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 3,499 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 3,595 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 4,816 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,801
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 444 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 693 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 914 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 942 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 966 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 1,028 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 1,148 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 1,054 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 636 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 237 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 208 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 320 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 498 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 686 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 514 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 230 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 400 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 565 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 154 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 298 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 626 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 853 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 882 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1,052 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,112 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 1,067 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 1,556 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,893 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,530 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 764 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 688 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 920 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 1,398 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,911 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,116 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 493
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Craigieburn Development area was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 10.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 1,911 and account for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 6,599 persons.

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