Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Tullamarine - Melbourne Airport

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Tullamarine - Melbourne Airport indicate a 18.1% increase in population under working age, a 8.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Tullamarine - Melbourne Airport - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44226.04876.54996.5+77
5 to 93224.63955.33995.2+77
10 to 142864.13344.43564.6+70
15 to 192904.13504.73784.9+88
20 to 245127.35136.85397.0+27
25 to 2969810.06839.17019.1+3
30 to 346429.26638.86618.6+19
35 to 395177.45978.05937.7+76
40 to 444466.45337.15356.9+89
45 to 494556.54656.24966.4+41
50 to 543995.74195.64696.1+70
55 to 594246.14255.74485.8+24
60 to 644015.73494.73784.9-23
65 to 694326.23554.73514.5-81
70 to 742974.23334.43234.2+26
75 to 792293.33074.12583.3+29
80 to 841161.71792.42032.6+87
85 and over1111.61121.51381.8+27
Total persons6,999100.07,500100.07,723100.0+724

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 138 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 203 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 258 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 323 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 351 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 378 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 448 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 469 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 496 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 535 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 593 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 661 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 701 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 539 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 378 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 356 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 399 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 499 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 112 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 307 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 333 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 355 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 349 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 425 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 419 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 465 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 533 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 597 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 663 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 683 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 513 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 350 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 334 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 395 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 487 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 111 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 116 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 229 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 297 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 432 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 401 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 424 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 399 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 455 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 446 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 517 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 642 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 698 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 512 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 290 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 286 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 322 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 422
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 24 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: -48 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: -10 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 28 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 22 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 50 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 32 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 2 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: -5 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -2 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 17 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 26 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 28 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 22 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 4 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 11 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 2 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 63 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 36 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -77 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -52 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 20 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 87 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 65
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Tullamarine - Melbourne Airport was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 87 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 683 persons.

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