Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Sunbury (Kismet - Killara)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Sunbury (Kismet - Killara) indicate a 9.8% increase in population under working age, a 61.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Sunbury (Kismet - Killara) - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47836.47885.86935.3-90
5 to 98046.68926.57765.9-27
10 to 148306.89737.18566.5+26
15 to 199757.91,0327.69337.1-42
20 to 241,0568.68996.68476.4-208
25 to 298316.87135.26665.1-165
30 to 347576.27085.26164.7-141
35 to 397055.78136.07045.4-1
40 to 447936.59326.88026.1+9
45 to 498847.29887.38916.8+7
50 to 541,0068.29897.39337.1-74
55 to 599617.89617.19367.1-25
60 to 646445.29356.98716.6+227
65 to 694663.87915.87535.7+288
70 to 743242.65003.76464.9+323
75 to 791661.43412.55624.3+396
80 to 841321.12361.74313.3+299
85 and over1531.21341.02221.7+70
Total persons12,268100.013,627100.013,137100.0+870

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 222 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 431 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 562 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 646 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 753 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 871 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 936 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 933 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 891 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 802 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 704 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 616 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 666 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 847 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 933 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 856 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 776 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 693 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 134 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 236 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 341 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 500 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 791 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 935 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 961 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 989 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 988 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 932 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 813 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 708 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 713 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 899 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,032 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 973 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 892 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 788 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 153 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 132 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 166 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 324 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 466 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 644 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 961 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,006 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 884 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 793 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 705 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 757 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 831 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,056 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 975 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 830 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 804 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 783
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 89 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 194 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 221 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 146 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: -38 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -65 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: -26 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: -56 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: -98 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: -130 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: -109 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -92 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -47 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: -52 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: -99 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -117 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: -116 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -96 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -19 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 104 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 174 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 176 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 325 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 292 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 0 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -18 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 104 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 139 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 108 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -49 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -118 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -157 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 144 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 89 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 6
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Sunbury (Kismet - Killara) was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 325 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 1,032 persons.

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