Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Craigieburn

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Craigieburn indicate a 18.7% increase in population under working age, a 94.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 27.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Craigieburn - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,65010.75,7988.55,1727.6-478
5 to 94,7178.95,5178.14,8857.2+168
10 to 143,5216.75,1727.64,5136.7+992
15 to 193,4466.54,6076.84,3206.4+874
20 to 243,8707.34,5466.74,4416.6+571
25 to 294,9339.35,3297.94,8577.2-76
30 to 345,66910.76,0829.05,2717.8-398
35 to 394,7969.16,0058.95,1557.6+359
40 to 443,5026.65,1607.64,5056.7+1,003
45 to 493,1596.04,5366.74,4026.5+1,243
50 to 542,7875.33,7175.54,1676.2+1,380
55 to 592,1984.23,1924.73,8765.7+1,678
60 to 641,7173.32,6814.03,3505.0+1,633
65 to 691,2252.32,0643.02,7444.1+1,519
70 to 747021.31,5252.22,2653.3+1,563
75 to 794440.81,0331.51,8172.7+1,373
80 to 842710.55530.81,1691.7+898
85 and over1880.43320.57341.1+546
Total persons52,795100.067,849100.067,644100.0+14,849

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 734 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 1,169 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 1,817 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 2,265 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 2,744 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 3,350 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 3,876 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 4,167 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 4,402 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 4,505 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 5,155 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 5,271 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 4,857 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 4,441 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 4,320 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 4,513 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 4,885 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 5,172 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 332 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 553 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,033 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,525 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,064 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,681 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 3,192 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 3,717 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 4,536 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 5,160 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 6,005 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 6,082 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 5,329 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 4,546 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 4,607 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 5,172 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 5,517 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,798 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 188 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 271 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 444 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 702 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,225 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,717 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 2,198 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 2,787 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 3,159 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 3,502 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 4,796 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 5,669 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,933 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 3,870 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 3,446 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 3,521 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 4,717 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,650
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 402 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 616 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 784 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 740 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 679 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 669 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 684 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 450 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: -134 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: -656 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: -850 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: -811 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: -472 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: -105 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: -286 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: -659 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: -632 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: -625 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 144 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 282 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 589 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 823 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 839 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 964 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 994 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 930 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 1,377 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,658 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,209 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 413 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 396 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 676 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 1,161 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,651 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 800 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 148
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Craigieburn was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 10.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 1,658 and account for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 6,082 persons.

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