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Hume CityPopulation forecast


Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Craigieburn indicate a 18.7% increase in population under working age, a 94.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 27.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Craigieburn is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Craigieburn - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,65010.75,7988.55,1727.6-478
5 to 94,7178.95,5178.14,8857.2+168
10 to 143,5216.75,1727.64,5136.7+992
15 to 193,4466.54,6076.84,3206.4+874
20 to 243,8707.34,5466.74,4416.6+571
25 to 294,9339.35,3297.94,8577.2-76
30 to 345,66910.76,0829.05,2717.8-398
35 to 394,7969.16,0058.95,1557.6+359
40 to 443,5026.65,1607.64,5056.7+1,003
45 to 493,1596.04,5366.74,4026.5+1,243
50 to 542,7875.33,7175.54,1676.2+1,380
55 to 592,1984.23,1924.73,8765.7+1,678
60 to 641,7173.32,6814.03,3505.0+1,633
65 to 691,2252.32,0643.02,7444.1+1,519
70 to 747021.31,5252.22,2653.3+1,563
75 to 794440.81,0331.51,8172.7+1,373
80 to 842710.55530.81,1691.7+898
85 and over1880.43320.57341.1+546
Total persons52,795100.067,849100.067,644100.0+14,849
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Craigieburn was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 10.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 1,658 and account for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 6,082 persons.

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