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Craigieburn

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Craigieburn is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 9,917 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
CraigieburnForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births--5,1845,5355,4185,1905,078
Deaths--8059581,1121,2611,397
Natural increase/decrease--4,3794,5774,3063,9293,681
Net migration--5,539429-3,948-4,044-4,260
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--013001300

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: -129 2040 forecast population change: -137 2039 forecast population change: -123 2038 forecast population change: -107 2037 forecast population change: -84 2036 forecast population change: -71 2035 forecast population change: -52 2034 forecast population change: -24 2033 forecast population change: 28 2032 forecast population change: 135 2031 forecast population change: -118 2030 forecast population change: -92 2029 forecast population change: -1 2028 forecast population change: 228 2027 forecast population change: 341 2026 forecast population change: 538 2025 forecast population change: 736 2024 forecast population change: 1,013 2023 forecast population change: 1,259 2022 forecast population change: 1,590 2021 forecast population change: 1,665 2020 forecast population change: 2,077 2019 forecast population change: 2,161 2018 forecast population change: 1,881 2017 forecast population change: 2,134
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 718 2040 Natural increase: 726 2039 Natural increase: 736 2038 Natural increase: 746 2037 Natural increase: 755 2036 Natural increase: 765 2035 Natural increase: 775 2034 Natural increase: 785 2033 Natural increase: 796 2032 Natural increase: 808 2031 Natural increase: 825 2030 Natural increase: 844 2029 Natural increase: 863 2028 Natural increase: 879 2027 Natural increase: 894 2026 Natural increase: 906 2025 Natural increase: 915 2024 Natural increase: 920 2023 Natural increase: 920 2022 Natural increase: 916 2021 Natural increase: 910 2020 Natural increase: 892 2019 Natural increase: 873 2018 Natural increase: 861 2017 Natural increase: 843 2041 Total deaths: 289 2040 Total deaths: 285 2039 Total deaths: 280 2038 Total deaths: 274 2037 Total deaths: 269 2036 Total deaths: 264 2035 Total deaths: 258 2034 Total deaths: 252 2033 Total deaths: 246 2032 Total deaths: 240 2031 Total deaths: 234 2030 Total deaths: 229 2029 Total deaths: 222 2028 Total deaths: 216 2027 Total deaths: 210 2026 Total deaths: 204 2025 Total deaths: 198 2024 Total deaths: 192 2023 Total deaths: 185 2022 Total deaths: 179 2021 Total deaths: 172 2020 Total deaths: 167 2019 Total deaths: 160 2018 Total deaths: 155 2017 Total deaths: 150 2041 Total births: 1,007 2040 Total births: 1,011 2039 Total births: 1,016 2038 Total births: 1,020 2037 Total births: 1,024 2036 Total births: 1,028 2035 Total births: 1,033 2034 Total births: 1,038 2033 Total births: 1,043 2032 Total births: 1,048 2031 Total births: 1,060 2030 Total births: 1,073 2029 Total births: 1,086 2028 Total births: 1,095 2027 Total births: 1,104 2026 Total births: 1,110 2025 Total births: 1,113 2024 Total births: 1,111 2023 Total births: 1,105 2022 Total births: 1,095 2021 Total births: 1,082 2020 Total births: 1,059 2019 Total births: 1,033 2018 Total births: 1,016 2017 Total births: 993 2041 Natural increase: 718 2040 Natural increase: 726 2039 Natural increase: 736 2038 Natural increase: 746 2037 Natural increase: 755 2036 Natural increase: 765 2035 Natural increase: 775 2034 Natural increase: 785 2033 Natural increase: 796 2032 Natural increase: 808 2031 Natural increase: 825 2030 Natural increase: 844 2029 Natural increase: 863 2028 Natural increase: 879 2027 Natural increase: 894 2026 Natural increase: 906 2025 Natural increase: 915 2024 Natural increase: 920 2023 Natural increase: 920 2022 Natural increase: 916 2021 Natural increase: 910 2020 Natural increase: 892 2019 Natural increase: 873 2018 Natural increase: 861 2017 Natural increase: 843 2041 Total deaths: 289 2040 Total deaths: 285 2039 Total deaths: 280 2038 Total deaths: 274 2037 Total deaths: 269 2036 Total deaths: 264 2035 Total deaths: 258 2034 Total deaths: 252 2033 Total deaths: 246 2032 Total deaths: 240 2031 Total deaths: 234 2030 Total deaths: 229 2029 Total deaths: 222 2028 Total deaths: 216 2027 Total deaths: 210 2026 Total deaths: 204 2025 Total deaths: 198 2024 Total deaths: 192 2023 Total deaths: 185 2022 Total deaths: 179 2021 Total deaths: 172 2020 Total deaths: 167 2019 Total deaths: 160 2018 Total deaths: 155 2017 Total deaths: 150 2041 Total births: 1,007 2040 Total births: 1,011 2039 Total births: 1,016 2038 Total births: 1,020 2037 Total births: 1,024 2036 Total births: 1,028 2035 Total births: 1,033 2034 Total births: 1,038 2033 Total births: 1,043 2032 Total births: 1,048 2031 Total births: 1,060 2030 Total births: 1,073 2029 Total births: 1,086 2028 Total births: 1,095 2027 Total births: 1,104 2026 Total births: 1,110 2025 Total births: 1,113 2024 Total births: 1,111 2023 Total births: 1,105 2022 Total births: 1,095 2021 Total births: 1,082 2020 Total births: 1,059 2019 Total births: 1,033 2018 Total births: 1,016 2017 Total births: 993
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: -847 2040 Total net migration: -863 2039 Total net migration: -859 2038 Total net migration: -853 2037 Total net migration: -839 2036 Total net migration: -836 2035 Total net migration: -827 2034 Total net migration: -814 2033 Total net migration: -786 2032 Total net migration: -782 2031 Total net migration: -943 2030 Total net migration: -936 2029 Total net migration: -865 2028 Total net migration: -652 2027 Total net migration: -553 2026 Total net migration: -367 2025 Total net migration: -180 2024 Total net migration: 90 2023 Total net migration: 322 2022 Total net migration: 565 2021 Total net migration: 755 2020 Total net migration: 1,185 2019 Total net migration: 1,288 2018 Total net migration: 1,019 2017 Total net migration: 1,291 2041 Total out migration: 5,962 2040 Total out migration: 5,987 2039 Total out migration: 6,012 2038 Total out migration: 6,038 2037 Total out migration: 6,061 2036 Total out migration: 6,085 2035 Total out migration: 6,109 2034 Total out migration: 6,132 2033 Total out migration: 6,153 2032 Total out migration: 6,175 2031 Total out migration: 6,217 2030 Total out migration: 6,258 2029 Total out migration: 6,295 2028 Total out migration: 6,310 2027 Total out migration: 6,316 2026 Total out migration: 6,305 2025 Total out migration: 6,275 2024 Total out migration: 6,218 2023 Total out migration: 6,137 2022 Total out migration: 5,996 2021 Total out migration: 5,872 2020 Total out migration: 5,700 2019 Total out migration: 5,514 2018 Total out migration: 5,360 2017 Total out migration: 5,182 2041 Total in migration: 5,115 2040 Total in migration: 5,124 2039 Total in migration: 5,154 2038 Total in migration: 5,185 2037 Total in migration: 5,223 2036 Total in migration: 5,249 2035 Total in migration: 5,282 2034 Total in migration: 5,318 2033 Total in migration: 5,367 2032 Total in migration: 5,394 2031 Total in migration: 5,273 2030 Total in migration: 5,322 2029 Total in migration: 5,430 2028 Total in migration: 5,658 2027 Total in migration: 5,763 2026 Total in migration: 5,937 2025 Total in migration: 6,096 2024 Total in migration: 6,308 2023 Total in migration: 6,459 2022 Total in migration: 6,561 2021 Total in migration: 6,627 2020 Total in migration: 6,885 2019 Total in migration: 6,802 2018 Total in migration: 6,379 2017 Total in migration: 6,473 2041 Total net migration: -847 2040 Total net migration: -863 2039 Total net migration: -859 2038 Total net migration: -853 2037 Total net migration: -839 2036 Total net migration: -836 2035 Total net migration: -827 2034 Total net migration: -814 2033 Total net migration: -786 2032 Total net migration: -782 2031 Total net migration: -943 2030 Total net migration: -936 2029 Total net migration: -865 2028 Total net migration: -652 2027 Total net migration: -553 2026 Total net migration: -367 2025 Total net migration: -180 2024 Total net migration: 90 2023 Total net migration: 322 2022 Total net migration: 565 2021 Total net migration: 755 2020 Total net migration: 1,185 2019 Total net migration: 1,288 2018 Total net migration: 1,019 2017 Total net migration: 1,291 2041 Total out migration: 5,962 2040 Total out migration: 5,987 2039 Total out migration: 6,012 2038 Total out migration: 6,038 2037 Total out migration: 6,061 2036 Total out migration: 6,085 2035 Total out migration: 6,109 2034 Total out migration: 6,132 2033 Total out migration: 6,153 2032 Total out migration: 6,175 2031 Total out migration: 6,217 2030 Total out migration: 6,258 2029 Total out migration: 6,295 2028 Total out migration: 6,310 2027 Total out migration: 6,316 2026 Total out migration: 6,305 2025 Total out migration: 6,275 2024 Total out migration: 6,218 2023 Total out migration: 6,137 2022 Total out migration: 5,996 2021 Total out migration: 5,872 2020 Total out migration: 5,700 2019 Total out migration: 5,514 2018 Total out migration: 5,360 2017 Total out migration: 5,182 2041 Total in migration: 5,115 2040 Total in migration: 5,124 2039 Total in migration: 5,154 2038 Total in migration: 5,185 2037 Total in migration: 5,223 2036 Total in migration: 5,249 2035 Total in migration: 5,282 2034 Total in migration: 5,318 2033 Total in migration: 5,367 2032 Total in migration: 5,394 2031 Total in migration: 5,273 2030 Total in migration: 5,322 2029 Total in migration: 5,430 2028 Total in migration: 5,658 2027 Total in migration: 5,763 2026 Total in migration: 5,937 2025 Total in migration: 6,096 2024 Total in migration: 6,308 2023 Total in migration: 6,459 2022 Total in migration: 6,561 2021 Total in migration: 6,627 2020 Total in migration: 6,885 2019 Total in migration: 6,802 2018 Total in migration: 6,379 2017 Total in migration: 6,473
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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