Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Sunbury (North)

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Sunbury (North) indicate a 72.7% increase in population under working age, a 21.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 28.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Sunbury (North) - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4534.6563.61013.5+48
5 to 9534.61016.61846.5+131
10 to 14554.81217.92207.7+165
15 to 19766.71026.72047.2+128
20 to 24595.2775.01655.8+106
25 to 29544.7513.3983.5+44
30 to 34373.3603.91123.9+75
35 to 39574.9956.21685.9+112
40 to 44786.81217.92308.1+152
45 to 49968.41268.22448.6+148
50 to 54796.91268.22408.5+161
55 to 59867.51328.62408.5+154
60 to 6415113.21056.92057.2+54
65 to 691099.5855.61615.7+53
70 to 74504.4825.31053.7+55
75 to 79282.4412.7642.3+37
80 to 84131.1291.9572.0+44
85 and over100.9191.3421.5+31
Total persons1,143100.01,527100.02,842100.0+1,699

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 42 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 57 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 64 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 105 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 161 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 205 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 240 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 240 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 244 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 230 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 168 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 112 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 98 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 165 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 204 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 220 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 184 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 101 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 41 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 82 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 85 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 105 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 132 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 121 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 95 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 60 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 77 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 121 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 101 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 56 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 10 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 13 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 28 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 50 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 109 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 151 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 86 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 79 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 96 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 78 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 57 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 37 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 54 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 59 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 76 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 55 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 53 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 53
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 23 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 28 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 23 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 24 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 76 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 100 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 109 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 115 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 118 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 109 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 73 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 52 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 48 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 88 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 102 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 99 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 84 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 45 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 16 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -24 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -45 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 46 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 30 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 43 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 66 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 3
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Sunbury (North) was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 13.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 66 and account for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 132 persons.

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