Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Sunbury (West - Langama)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Sunbury (West - Langama) will increase by an average of 177 dwellings per annum to 9,263 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Precinct 14 - Millett Residential - 1,268 dwellings (2017-2029)
  • Precinct 12 - Barrington Lane - 403 dwellings (2020-2041)
  • Sunbury West Precinct Structure Plan (PSP 1095) - 1,730 dwellings (2024-2041)
  • Sunbury Development Area 5b (West) - 500 dwellings (2027-2041)
  • Moderate to high level of infill development assumed (6-28 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 9,263 2040 Total dwellings: 9,037 2039 Total dwellings: 8,799 2038 Total dwellings: 8,576 2037 Total dwellings: 8,358 2036 Total dwellings: 8,140 2035 Total dwellings: 7,927 2034 Total dwellings: 7,714 2033 Total dwellings: 7,501 2032 Total dwellings: 7,300 2031 Total dwellings: 7,104 2030 Total dwellings: 6,918 2029 Total dwellings: 6,748 2028 Total dwellings: 6,600 2027 Total dwellings: 6,484 2026 Total dwellings: 6,362 2025 Total dwellings: 6,220 2024 Total dwellings: 6,048 2023 Total dwellings: 5,881 2022 Total dwellings: 5,726 2021 Total dwellings: 5,571 2020 Total dwellings: 5,417 2019 Total dwellings: 5,275 2018 Total dwellings: 5,135 2017 Total dwellings: 4,988 2041 Total dwellings: 9,263 2040 Total dwellings: 9,037 2039 Total dwellings: 8,799 2038 Total dwellings: 8,576 2037 Total dwellings: 8,358 2036 Total dwellings: 8,140 2035 Total dwellings: 7,927 2034 Total dwellings: 7,714 2033 Total dwellings: 7,501 2032 Total dwellings: 7,300 2031 Total dwellings: 7,104 2030 Total dwellings: 6,918 2029 Total dwellings: 6,748 2028 Total dwellings: 6,600 2027 Total dwellings: 6,484 2026 Total dwellings: 6,362 2025 Total dwellings: 6,220 2024 Total dwellings: 6,048 2023 Total dwellings: 5,881 2022 Total dwellings: 5,726 2021 Total dwellings: 5,571 2020 Total dwellings: 5,417 2019 Total dwellings: 5,275 2018 Total dwellings: 5,135 2017 Total dwellings: 4,988 2041 Forecast development: 226 2040 Forecast development: 238 2039 Forecast development: 223 2038 Forecast development: 218 2037 Forecast development: 218 2036 Forecast development: 213 2035 Forecast development: 213 2034 Forecast development: 213 2033 Forecast development: 201 2032 Forecast development: 196 2031 Forecast development: 186 2030 Forecast development: 170 2029 Forecast development: 148 2028 Forecast development: 116 2027 Forecast development: 122 2026 Forecast development: 142 2025 Forecast development: 172 2024 Forecast development: 167 2023 Forecast development: 155 2022 Forecast development: 155 2021 Forecast development: 154 2020 Forecast development: 142 2019 Forecast development: 140 2018 Forecast development: 147 2017 Forecast development: 155
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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