Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Sunbury (Goonawarra - Rolling Meadows)

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Sunbury (Goonawarra - Rolling Meadows) will increase by an average of 194 dwellings per annum to 6,744 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Lancefield Road Precinct Structure Plan (PSP 1075) - 3,000 dwellings (2018-2041)
  • Future Sunbury North Precinct Structure Plan - 1,750 dwellings (2028-2041)
  • Low level of infill development assumed (1-6 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 6,744 2040 Total dwellings: 6,238 2039 Total dwellings: 5,742 2038 Total dwellings: 5,316 2037 Total dwellings: 4,930 2036 Total dwellings: 4,584 2035 Total dwellings: 4,248 2034 Total dwellings: 3,922 2033 Total dwellings: 3,621 2032 Total dwellings: 3,356 2031 Total dwellings: 3,141 2030 Total dwellings: 2,956 2029 Total dwellings: 2,806 2028 Total dwellings: 2,677 2027 Total dwellings: 2,563 2026 Total dwellings: 2,459 2025 Total dwellings: 2,361 2024 Total dwellings: 2,278 2023 Total dwellings: 2,195 2022 Total dwellings: 2,123 2021 Total dwellings: 2,061 2020 Total dwellings: 1,999 2019 Total dwellings: 1,946 2018 Total dwellings: 1,908 2017 Total dwellings: 1,890 2041 Total dwellings: 6,744 2040 Total dwellings: 6,238 2039 Total dwellings: 5,742 2038 Total dwellings: 5,316 2037 Total dwellings: 4,930 2036 Total dwellings: 4,584 2035 Total dwellings: 4,248 2034 Total dwellings: 3,922 2033 Total dwellings: 3,621 2032 Total dwellings: 3,356 2031 Total dwellings: 3,141 2030 Total dwellings: 2,956 2029 Total dwellings: 2,806 2028 Total dwellings: 2,677 2027 Total dwellings: 2,563 2026 Total dwellings: 2,459 2025 Total dwellings: 2,361 2024 Total dwellings: 2,278 2023 Total dwellings: 2,195 2022 Total dwellings: 2,123 2021 Total dwellings: 2,061 2020 Total dwellings: 1,999 2019 Total dwellings: 1,946 2018 Total dwellings: 1,908 2017 Total dwellings: 1,890 2041 Forecast development: 506 2040 Forecast development: 496 2039 Forecast development: 426 2038 Forecast development: 386 2037 Forecast development: 346 2036 Forecast development: 336 2035 Forecast development: 326 2034 Forecast development: 301 2033 Forecast development: 265 2032 Forecast development: 215 2031 Forecast development: 185 2030 Forecast development: 150 2029 Forecast development: 129 2028 Forecast development: 114 2027 Forecast development: 104 2026 Forecast development: 98 2025 Forecast development: 83 2024 Forecast development: 83 2023 Forecast development: 72 2022 Forecast development: 62 2021 Forecast development: 62 2020 Forecast development: 53 2019 Forecast development: 38 2018 Forecast development: 18 2017 Forecast development: 3
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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