Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Greenvale - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Greenvale - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke will increase by an average of 207 dwellings per annum to 10,267 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Providence Estate - 81 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • The Pinnacle (Greenvale Lakes) - 21 dwellings (2017-2022)
  • Shannon Rise - 28 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • Linlithgow Way - 36 dwellings (2017-2026)
  • 945-1085 Mickleham Road site - 821 dwellings (2017-2024)
  • Aspect Greenvale - 428 dwellings (2017-2023)
  • Umbra (Mickleham Road) - 112 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • Providence Road Subdivision - 39 dwellings (2017-2021)
  • Umbra (Somerton Road) - 167 dwellings (2018-2022)
  • Greenvale North Structure Plan - Mt Aitken Neighbourhood - 771 dwellings (2018-2028)
  • Greenvale South Future Urban - 1,440 dwellings (2020-2035)
  • Greenvale (North) UGA - 293 dwellings (2021-2027)
  • Woodlands Precinct Structure Plan Area - 64 dwellings (2021-2034)
  • Long-term greenfield (North-East) - 700 dwellings (2022-2041)
  • Greenvale North Future Urban - 140 dwellings (2024-2028)
  • Low level of infill development (1 dwelling per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 10,267 2040 Total dwellings: 10,226 2039 Total dwellings: 10,185 2038 Total dwellings: 10,144 2037 Total dwellings: 10,103 2036 Total dwellings: 10,062 2035 Total dwellings: 10,021 2034 Total dwellings: 9,965 2033 Total dwellings: 9,897 2032 Total dwellings: 9,816 2031 Total dwellings: 9,710 2030 Total dwellings: 9,574 2029 Total dwellings: 9,403 2028 Total dwellings: 9,232 2027 Total dwellings: 9,050 2026 Total dwellings: 8,846 2025 Total dwellings: 8,613 2024 Total dwellings: 8,329 2023 Total dwellings: 8,017 2022 Total dwellings: 7,625 2021 Total dwellings: 7,212 2020 Total dwellings: 6,843 2019 Total dwellings: 6,458 2018 Total dwellings: 5,955 2017 Total dwellings: 5,485 2041 Total dwellings: 10,267 2040 Total dwellings: 10,226 2039 Total dwellings: 10,185 2038 Total dwellings: 10,144 2037 Total dwellings: 10,103 2036 Total dwellings: 10,062 2035 Total dwellings: 10,021 2034 Total dwellings: 9,965 2033 Total dwellings: 9,897 2032 Total dwellings: 9,816 2031 Total dwellings: 9,710 2030 Total dwellings: 9,574 2029 Total dwellings: 9,403 2028 Total dwellings: 9,232 2027 Total dwellings: 9,050 2026 Total dwellings: 8,846 2025 Total dwellings: 8,613 2024 Total dwellings: 8,329 2023 Total dwellings: 8,017 2022 Total dwellings: 7,625 2021 Total dwellings: 7,212 2020 Total dwellings: 6,843 2019 Total dwellings: 6,458 2018 Total dwellings: 5,955 2017 Total dwellings: 5,485 2041 Forecast development: 41 2040 Forecast development: 41 2039 Forecast development: 41 2038 Forecast development: 41 2037 Forecast development: 41 2036 Forecast development: 41 2035 Forecast development: 56 2034 Forecast development: 68 2033 Forecast development: 81 2032 Forecast development: 106 2031 Forecast development: 136 2030 Forecast development: 171 2029 Forecast development: 171 2028 Forecast development: 182 2027 Forecast development: 204 2026 Forecast development: 233 2025 Forecast development: 284 2024 Forecast development: 312 2023 Forecast development: 392 2022 Forecast development: 413 2021 Forecast development: 369 2020 Forecast development: 385 2019 Forecast development: 503 2018 Forecast development: 470 2017 Forecast development: 396
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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