Hume CityPopulation forecast
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Sunbury

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Sunbury will increase by an average of 703 dwellings per annum to 31,637 in 2041.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Hume City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

Dwelling counts for 2016 have been adjusted to reflect Census results. Specific assumptions from 2017 onwards include:

  • Precinct 2 - Canterbury Hills - 32 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • Precinct 5 - Somerset and Mt Holden - 172 dwellings (2017-2022)
  • Sunbury Retirement Village - 46 dwellings (2017-2020)
  • Precinct 14 - Millett Residential - 1,268 dwellings (2017-2029)
  • Sunbury Fields - 390 dwellings (2017-2024)
  • Precinct 1 - GWAZ - 100 dwellings (2020-2039)
  • Precinct 12 - Barrington Lane - 403 dwellings (2020-2041)
  • Sunbury West Precinct Structure Plan (PSP 1095) - 1,730 dwellings (2024-2041)
  • Sunbury Development Area 5b (West) - 500 dwellings (2027-2041)
  • Moderate to high level of infill development (37-118 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2041 Total dwellings: 31,637 2040 Total dwellings: 30,381 2039 Total dwellings: 29,153 2038 Total dwellings: 28,017 2037 Total dwellings: 26,926 2036 Total dwellings: 25,886 2035 Total dwellings: 24,863 2034 Total dwellings: 23,850 2033 Total dwellings: 22,877 2032 Total dwellings: 21,987 2031 Total dwellings: 21,195 2030 Total dwellings: 20,458 2029 Total dwellings: 19,787 2028 Total dwellings: 19,186 2027 Total dwellings: 18,667 2026 Total dwellings: 18,163 2025 Total dwellings: 17,667 2024 Total dwellings: 17,166 2023 Total dwellings: 16,704 2022 Total dwellings: 16,294 2021 Total dwellings: 15,901 2020 Total dwellings: 15,499 2019 Total dwellings: 15,107 2018 Total dwellings: 14,763 2017 Total dwellings: 14,424 2041 Total dwellings: 31,637 2040 Total dwellings: 30,381 2039 Total dwellings: 29,153 2038 Total dwellings: 28,017 2037 Total dwellings: 26,926 2036 Total dwellings: 25,886 2035 Total dwellings: 24,863 2034 Total dwellings: 23,850 2033 Total dwellings: 22,877 2032 Total dwellings: 21,987 2031 Total dwellings: 21,195 2030 Total dwellings: 20,458 2029 Total dwellings: 19,787 2028 Total dwellings: 19,186 2027 Total dwellings: 18,667 2026 Total dwellings: 18,163 2025 Total dwellings: 17,667 2024 Total dwellings: 17,166 2023 Total dwellings: 16,704 2022 Total dwellings: 16,294 2021 Total dwellings: 15,901 2020 Total dwellings: 15,499 2019 Total dwellings: 15,107 2018 Total dwellings: 14,763 2017 Total dwellings: 14,424 2041 Forecast development: 1,256 2040 Forecast development: 1,228 2039 Forecast development: 1,136 2038 Forecast development: 1,091 2037 Forecast development: 1,040 2036 Forecast development: 1,023 2035 Forecast development: 1,013 2034 Forecast development: 973 2033 Forecast development: 890 2032 Forecast development: 792 2031 Forecast development: 737 2030 Forecast development: 671 2029 Forecast development: 601 2028 Forecast development: 519 2027 Forecast development: 504 2026 Forecast development: 496 2025 Forecast development: 501 2024 Forecast development: 462 2023 Forecast development: 410 2022 Forecast development: 393 2021 Forecast development: 402 2020 Forecast development: 392 2019 Forecast development: 344 2018 Forecast development: 339 2017 Forecast development: 366
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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